Healthy and sustainable diets from today to 2050—The role of international trade

The connection between international trade and food systems (un)sustainability is both contentious and critical for policy work supporting progress towards achieving the twin goals of hunger alleviation and dietary health while improving the overall sustainability of development. We characterize the...

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Autores principales: Mapes, Brendan Robert, Prager, Steven D., Béné, Christophe, González Rodriguez, Carlos Eduardo
Formato: Journal Article
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/119683
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author Mapes, Brendan Robert
Prager, Steven D.
Béné, Christophe
González Rodriguez, Carlos Eduardo
author_browse Béné, Christophe
González Rodriguez, Carlos Eduardo
Mapes, Brendan Robert
Prager, Steven D.
author_facet Mapes, Brendan Robert
Prager, Steven D.
Béné, Christophe
González Rodriguez, Carlos Eduardo
author_sort Mapes, Brendan Robert
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description The connection between international trade and food systems (un)sustainability is both contentious and critical for policy work supporting progress towards achieving the twin goals of hunger alleviation and dietary health while improving the overall sustainability of development. We characterize the food system using a set of metrics based upon the EAT-Lancet commission dietary guidelines for both over- and under-consumption of different foods to assess country-level dietary health and sustainability in tandem. Using a partial equilibrium model of agricultural production and trade, we then project the functioning of the global agricultural system to 2050 and calculate the metrics for that year. For most regions we find increased overconsumption above the expert-defined healthy and sustainable diet thresholds, with more limited progress towards closing dietary health and sustainability gaps where they currently exist. Trade influences this dynamic into the future under certain socioeconomic conditions, and we find that under a “business as usual” trade environment, future agricultural import profiles continue to be misaligned with dietary health and sustainability outcomes, suggesting the potential for early intervention in trade policy as a means to positively influence food system outcomes.
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spelling CGSpace1196832025-11-11T19:05:21Z Healthy and sustainable diets from today to 2050—The role of international trade Mapes, Brendan Robert Prager, Steven D. Béné, Christophe González Rodriguez, Carlos Eduardo food systems healthy diets food consumption international trade policies sustainable products sistemas alimentarios dieta saludable consumo de alimentos eco-productos The connection between international trade and food systems (un)sustainability is both contentious and critical for policy work supporting progress towards achieving the twin goals of hunger alleviation and dietary health while improving the overall sustainability of development. We characterize the food system using a set of metrics based upon the EAT-Lancet commission dietary guidelines for both over- and under-consumption of different foods to assess country-level dietary health and sustainability in tandem. Using a partial equilibrium model of agricultural production and trade, we then project the functioning of the global agricultural system to 2050 and calculate the metrics for that year. For most regions we find increased overconsumption above the expert-defined healthy and sustainable diet thresholds, with more limited progress towards closing dietary health and sustainability gaps where they currently exist. Trade influences this dynamic into the future under certain socioeconomic conditions, and we find that under a “business as usual” trade environment, future agricultural import profiles continue to be misaligned with dietary health and sustainability outcomes, suggesting the potential for early intervention in trade policy as a means to positively influence food system outcomes. 2022-05-18 2022-05-27T08:28:07Z 2022-05-27T08:28:07Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/119683 en Open Access application/pdf Mapes, B.R.; Prager, S.D.; Béné, C.; Gonzalez, C.E. (2022) Healthy and sustainable diets from today to 2050—The role of international trade. PLOS ONE 17(5): e0264729. 20 p. ISSN: 1932-6203
spellingShingle food systems
healthy diets
food consumption
international trade
policies
sustainable products
sistemas alimentarios
dieta saludable
consumo de alimentos
eco-productos
Mapes, Brendan Robert
Prager, Steven D.
Béné, Christophe
González Rodriguez, Carlos Eduardo
Healthy and sustainable diets from today to 2050—The role of international trade
title Healthy and sustainable diets from today to 2050—The role of international trade
title_full Healthy and sustainable diets from today to 2050—The role of international trade
title_fullStr Healthy and sustainable diets from today to 2050—The role of international trade
title_full_unstemmed Healthy and sustainable diets from today to 2050—The role of international trade
title_short Healthy and sustainable diets from today to 2050—The role of international trade
title_sort healthy and sustainable diets from today to 2050 the role of international trade
topic food systems
healthy diets
food consumption
international trade
policies
sustainable products
sistemas alimentarios
dieta saludable
consumo de alimentos
eco-productos
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/119683
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AT pragerstevend healthyandsustainabledietsfromtodayto2050theroleofinternationaltrade
AT benechristophe healthyandsustainabledietsfromtodayto2050theroleofinternationaltrade
AT gonzalezrodriguezcarloseduardo healthyandsustainabledietsfromtodayto2050theroleofinternationaltrade