Transformative horizons: reflecting on a decade of scenario-guided policy formulation

Participatory foresight has proliferated rapidly in response to unprecedented global uncertainty and the need to transform to more sustainable societies. However, the link from foresight to action is often under-researched; and understanding how foresight can be used for the realization of transform...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Vervoort, Joost M., Pereira, Laura, Veeger, Marieke, Rutting, Lucas, Peou, Rathana, Muzammil, Maliha, Muiderman, Karlijn, Thornton, Philip K., Cramer, Laura K.
Formato: Otro
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/116832
_version_ 1855536436494729216
author Vervoort, Joost M.
Pereira, Laura
Veeger, Marieke
Rutting, Lucas
Peou, Rathana
Muzammil, Maliha
Muiderman, Karlijn
Thornton, Philip K.
Cramer, Laura K.
author_browse Cramer, Laura K.
Muiderman, Karlijn
Muzammil, Maliha
Peou, Rathana
Pereira, Laura
Rutting, Lucas
Thornton, Philip K.
Veeger, Marieke
Vervoort, Joost M.
author_facet Vervoort, Joost M.
Pereira, Laura
Veeger, Marieke
Rutting, Lucas
Peou, Rathana
Muzammil, Maliha
Muiderman, Karlijn
Thornton, Philip K.
Cramer, Laura K.
author_sort Vervoort, Joost M.
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Participatory foresight has proliferated rapidly in response to unprecedented global uncertainty and the need to transform to more sustainable societies. However, the link from foresight to action is often under-researched; and understanding how foresight can be used for the realization of transformative ambitions has proven particularly difficult. In this paper, we reflect on a unique case: a project that spans eleven years of scenario-guided participatory policy formulation processes for food security and agriculture under climate change across seven global regions. Many of the policy formulation processes in these regions have led to changed policies and plans as a result of participatory scenario analysis. The length, scope, and level of policy engagement that characterizes this case offers unique opportunities for learning about impactful foresight. In addition, lessons from the project have proliferated into a range of other initiatives that have often been able to complement the original project strategies with new approaches that have in turn yielded more insights. We provide core insights from the successes and failures in this unique global case for connecting foresight to action by examining interactions between 1) institutional contexts and knowledge systems; 2) relationships with the future; 3) imaginaries; 4) participation cultures; 5) process designs and participants; and 6) futures methodology. We then go on to discuss how such best practices can be ‘scaled deep’; ‘scaled out’; and ‘scaled up’ for transformative change.
format Otro
id CGSpace116832
institution CGIAR Consortium
language Inglés
publishDate 2021
publishDateRange 2021
publishDateSort 2021
publisher CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security
publisherStr CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security
record_format dspace
spelling CGSpace1168322024-01-17T12:58:34Z Transformative horizons: reflecting on a decade of scenario-guided policy formulation Vervoort, Joost M. Pereira, Laura Veeger, Marieke Rutting, Lucas Peou, Rathana Muzammil, Maliha Muiderman, Karlijn Thornton, Philip K. Cramer, Laura K. climate change agriculture food security policies Participatory foresight has proliferated rapidly in response to unprecedented global uncertainty and the need to transform to more sustainable societies. However, the link from foresight to action is often under-researched; and understanding how foresight can be used for the realization of transformative ambitions has proven particularly difficult. In this paper, we reflect on a unique case: a project that spans eleven years of scenario-guided participatory policy formulation processes for food security and agriculture under climate change across seven global regions. Many of the policy formulation processes in these regions have led to changed policies and plans as a result of participatory scenario analysis. The length, scope, and level of policy engagement that characterizes this case offers unique opportunities for learning about impactful foresight. In addition, lessons from the project have proliferated into a range of other initiatives that have often been able to complement the original project strategies with new approaches that have in turn yielded more insights. We provide core insights from the successes and failures in this unique global case for connecting foresight to action by examining interactions between 1) institutional contexts and knowledge systems; 2) relationships with the future; 3) imaginaries; 4) participation cultures; 5) process designs and participants; and 6) futures methodology. We then go on to discuss how such best practices can be ‘scaled deep’; ‘scaled out’; and ‘scaled up’ for transformative change. 2021-12-17 2021-12-17T13:24:45Z 2021-12-17T13:24:45Z Other https://hdl.handle.net/10568/116832 en Open Access application/pdf CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security Vervoort J, Pereira L, Veeger M, Rutting L, Peou R, Muzammil M, Muiderman K, Thornton P, Cramer L. 2021. Transformative horizons: reflecting on a decade of scenario-guided policy formulation. Wageningen, the Netherlands: CGIAR Reseach Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS).
spellingShingle climate change
agriculture
food security
policies
Vervoort, Joost M.
Pereira, Laura
Veeger, Marieke
Rutting, Lucas
Peou, Rathana
Muzammil, Maliha
Muiderman, Karlijn
Thornton, Philip K.
Cramer, Laura K.
Transformative horizons: reflecting on a decade of scenario-guided policy formulation
title Transformative horizons: reflecting on a decade of scenario-guided policy formulation
title_full Transformative horizons: reflecting on a decade of scenario-guided policy formulation
title_fullStr Transformative horizons: reflecting on a decade of scenario-guided policy formulation
title_full_unstemmed Transformative horizons: reflecting on a decade of scenario-guided policy formulation
title_short Transformative horizons: reflecting on a decade of scenario-guided policy formulation
title_sort transformative horizons reflecting on a decade of scenario guided policy formulation
topic climate change
agriculture
food security
policies
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/116832
work_keys_str_mv AT vervoortjoostm transformativehorizonsreflectingonadecadeofscenarioguidedpolicyformulation
AT pereiralaura transformativehorizonsreflectingonadecadeofscenarioguidedpolicyformulation
AT veegermarieke transformativehorizonsreflectingonadecadeofscenarioguidedpolicyformulation
AT ruttinglucas transformativehorizonsreflectingonadecadeofscenarioguidedpolicyformulation
AT peourathana transformativehorizonsreflectingonadecadeofscenarioguidedpolicyformulation
AT muzammilmaliha transformativehorizonsreflectingonadecadeofscenarioguidedpolicyformulation
AT muidermankarlijn transformativehorizonsreflectingonadecadeofscenarioguidedpolicyformulation
AT thorntonphilipk transformativehorizonsreflectingonadecadeofscenarioguidedpolicyformulation
AT cramerlaurak transformativehorizonsreflectingonadecadeofscenarioguidedpolicyformulation