Assessing the relationship between climate, food security and conflict in Ethiopia and in the Central American Dry Corridor (CADC). Quantitative analysis on the impact of climate variability on conflict in Ethiopia and in the CADC countries
In this study, we investigate the climate-food security-conflict nexus in Ethiopia and the CADC (Guatemala, El Salvador, Nicaragua, Honduras). Both Ethiopia and the CADC are hotspots of high climate variabilities, high political insecurity, and conflicts and widespread food and nutrition insecuritie...
| Main Authors: | , , , , , , , , , , , |
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| Format: | Brief |
| Language: | Inglés |
| Published: |
CGIAR FOCUS Climate Security
2021
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| Online Access: | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/116292 |
| _version_ | 1855513147129987072 |
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| author | Pacillo, Grazia Carneiro, Bia Resce, Giuliano Ruscica, Giosuè Craparo, Alessandro Carmelo William Basel, Ashleigh Megan Ramírez Villegas, Julián Armando Achicanoy Estrella, Harold Armando Villa, Victor Krendelsberger, Alexandra Liebig, Theresa Ines Läderach, Peter R.D. |
| author_browse | Achicanoy Estrella, Harold Armando Basel, Ashleigh Megan Carneiro, Bia Craparo, Alessandro Carmelo William Krendelsberger, Alexandra Liebig, Theresa Ines Läderach, Peter R.D. Pacillo, Grazia Ramírez Villegas, Julián Armando Resce, Giuliano Ruscica, Giosuè Villa, Victor |
| author_facet | Pacillo, Grazia Carneiro, Bia Resce, Giuliano Ruscica, Giosuè Craparo, Alessandro Carmelo William Basel, Ashleigh Megan Ramírez Villegas, Julián Armando Achicanoy Estrella, Harold Armando Villa, Victor Krendelsberger, Alexandra Liebig, Theresa Ines Läderach, Peter R.D. |
| author_sort | Pacillo, Grazia |
| collection | Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace) |
| description | In this study, we investigate the climate-food security-conflict nexus in Ethiopia and the CADC (Guatemala, El Salvador, Nicaragua, Honduras). Both Ethiopia and the CADC are hotspots of high climate variabilities, high political insecurity, and conflicts and widespread food and nutrition insecurities across their populations. Therefore, the main research questions that this study aims to answer for the CADC countries:
• Is climate exacerbating existing threats that could increase the risk of conflict in the CADC countries and in Ethiopia?
• Are areas of high climate variability correlated to high socio-political insecurity in the CADC countries and in Ethiopia?
• How can WFP programming become more climate security sensitive?
Our main findings can be summarized as follows:
(1) Climate exacerbates existing household level risks and insecurities that can increase the likelihood and intensity of conflict. In other words, we find evidence that climate is a threat multiplier in Ethiopia and El Salvador .
(2) In addition to climate induced insecurities, there exist other important household level predictors of conflict, such as age, education, and gender of the head of the household, ethnicity, access to electricity and location in Ethiopia and El Salvador.
(3) The climate security nexus – the way climate, socio-economic and political risks and insecurities are linked to each other – differs across countries (Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, El Salvador and Ethiopia) and conflict clusters.
(4) There exist “climate insecurity hotspots” at sub-national level where high level of climate variability, conflict intensity and diversity co-occur with other existing socio-economic insecurities. |
| format | Brief |
| id | CGSpace116292 |
| institution | CGIAR Consortium |
| language | Inglés |
| publishDate | 2021 |
| publishDateRange | 2021 |
| publishDateSort | 2021 |
| publisher | CGIAR FOCUS Climate Security |
| publisherStr | CGIAR FOCUS Climate Security |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | CGSpace1162922025-11-05T12:26:52Z Assessing the relationship between climate, food security and conflict in Ethiopia and in the Central American Dry Corridor (CADC). Quantitative analysis on the impact of climate variability on conflict in Ethiopia and in the CADC countries Pacillo, Grazia Carneiro, Bia Resce, Giuliano Ruscica, Giosuè Craparo, Alessandro Carmelo William Basel, Ashleigh Megan Ramírez Villegas, Julián Armando Achicanoy Estrella, Harold Armando Villa, Victor Krendelsberger, Alexandra Liebig, Theresa Ines Läderach, Peter R.D. In this study, we investigate the climate-food security-conflict nexus in Ethiopia and the CADC (Guatemala, El Salvador, Nicaragua, Honduras). Both Ethiopia and the CADC are hotspots of high climate variabilities, high political insecurity, and conflicts and widespread food and nutrition insecurities across their populations. Therefore, the main research questions that this study aims to answer for the CADC countries: • Is climate exacerbating existing threats that could increase the risk of conflict in the CADC countries and in Ethiopia? • Are areas of high climate variability correlated to high socio-political insecurity in the CADC countries and in Ethiopia? • How can WFP programming become more climate security sensitive? Our main findings can be summarized as follows: (1) Climate exacerbates existing household level risks and insecurities that can increase the likelihood and intensity of conflict. In other words, we find evidence that climate is a threat multiplier in Ethiopia and El Salvador . (2) In addition to climate induced insecurities, there exist other important household level predictors of conflict, such as age, education, and gender of the head of the household, ethnicity, access to electricity and location in Ethiopia and El Salvador. (3) The climate security nexus – the way climate, socio-economic and political risks and insecurities are linked to each other – differs across countries (Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, El Salvador and Ethiopia) and conflict clusters. (4) There exist “climate insecurity hotspots” at sub-national level where high level of climate variability, conflict intensity and diversity co-occur with other existing socio-economic insecurities. 2021-11-26 2021-11-25T13:35:26Z 2021-11-25T13:35:26Z Brief https://hdl.handle.net/10568/116292 en Open Access application/pdf CGIAR FOCUS Climate Security Pacillo G, Carneiro B, Resce G, Ruscica G, Craparo A, Basel A, Ramirez J, Achicanoy, Villa V, Krendelsberger A, Liebig, T, Laderach P. 2021. Assessing the relationship between climate, food security and conflict in Ethiopia and in the Central American Dry Corridor (CADC). Quantitative analysis on the impact of climate variability on conflict in Ethiopia and in the CADC countries. CGIAR FOCUS Climate Security. |
| spellingShingle | Pacillo, Grazia Carneiro, Bia Resce, Giuliano Ruscica, Giosuè Craparo, Alessandro Carmelo William Basel, Ashleigh Megan Ramírez Villegas, Julián Armando Achicanoy Estrella, Harold Armando Villa, Victor Krendelsberger, Alexandra Liebig, Theresa Ines Läderach, Peter R.D. Assessing the relationship between climate, food security and conflict in Ethiopia and in the Central American Dry Corridor (CADC). Quantitative analysis on the impact of climate variability on conflict in Ethiopia and in the CADC countries |
| title | Assessing the relationship between climate, food security and conflict in Ethiopia and in the Central American Dry Corridor (CADC). Quantitative analysis on the impact of climate variability on conflict in Ethiopia and in the CADC countries |
| title_full | Assessing the relationship between climate, food security and conflict in Ethiopia and in the Central American Dry Corridor (CADC). Quantitative analysis on the impact of climate variability on conflict in Ethiopia and in the CADC countries |
| title_fullStr | Assessing the relationship between climate, food security and conflict in Ethiopia and in the Central American Dry Corridor (CADC). Quantitative analysis on the impact of climate variability on conflict in Ethiopia and in the CADC countries |
| title_full_unstemmed | Assessing the relationship between climate, food security and conflict in Ethiopia and in the Central American Dry Corridor (CADC). Quantitative analysis on the impact of climate variability on conflict in Ethiopia and in the CADC countries |
| title_short | Assessing the relationship between climate, food security and conflict in Ethiopia and in the Central American Dry Corridor (CADC). Quantitative analysis on the impact of climate variability on conflict in Ethiopia and in the CADC countries |
| title_sort | assessing the relationship between climate food security and conflict in ethiopia and in the central american dry corridor cadc quantitative analysis on the impact of climate variability on conflict in ethiopia and in the cadc countries |
| url | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/116292 |
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