An assessment of the economic impacts of the 2019 African swine fever outbreaks in Vietnam
The 2019 African swine fever (ASF) outbreaks in Vietnam imposed considerable impacts on the pig sector in Vietnam, resulting in the death or culling of nearly six million pigs, or more than 20% of the country's pig population. In order to assess the magnitude of the outbreak at sector level (both on...
| Main Authors: | , , , , , , , , , , |
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| Format: | Journal Article |
| Language: | Inglés |
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Frontiers Media
2021
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/115764 |
| _version_ | 1855541716010926080 |
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| author | Thinh Nguyen-Thi Linh Pham-Thi-Ngoc Que Nguyen-Ngoc Sinh Dang-Xuan Hu Suk Lee Hung Nguyen-Viet Padungtod, P. Thuy Nguyen-Thu Thuy Nguyen-Thi Thang Tran-Cong Rich, Karl M. |
| author_browse | Hu Suk Lee Hung Nguyen-Viet Linh Pham-Thi-Ngoc Padungtod, P. Que Nguyen-Ngoc Rich, Karl M. Sinh Dang-Xuan Thang Tran-Cong Thinh Nguyen-Thi Thuy Nguyen-Thi Thuy Nguyen-Thu |
| author_facet | Thinh Nguyen-Thi Linh Pham-Thi-Ngoc Que Nguyen-Ngoc Sinh Dang-Xuan Hu Suk Lee Hung Nguyen-Viet Padungtod, P. Thuy Nguyen-Thu Thuy Nguyen-Thi Thang Tran-Cong Rich, Karl M. |
| author_sort | Thinh Nguyen-Thi |
| collection | Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace) |
| description | The 2019 African swine fever (ASF) outbreaks in Vietnam imposed considerable impacts on the pig sector in Vietnam, resulting in the death or culling of nearly six million pigs, or more than 20% of the country's pig population. In order to assess the magnitude of the outbreak at sector level (both on farm and at value chain level), on livelihoods, and on the broader national economy, a comprehensive impact assessment was conducted using a mixed methods approach that integrated a value chain assessment with the use of quantitative modeling tools at sector and national levels. The results showed that the outbreak caused severe direct and indirect economic losses among farmers, particularly medium- and large-farmers whose livelihoods are largely derived from pig production. The outbreaks also affected other value chain actors due to a halving in the volume of pigs traded. At sector level, the outbreaks posed adverse impacts on the domestic supply and demand for pork, especially in the traditional sector. Meanwhile, the modern sector with higher levels of biosecurity and high technology growth was less likely to be affected and even benefited from the outbreak, which was evidenced by increased supply and income throughout the simulation period in this sector. At national level, different model simulation scenarios showed a sharp reduction in total gross domestic product (GDP) and a substantial loss of jobs. Improvements in the system of ASF compensation scheme are needed, both in terms of its administration, but also in its targeting, with greater emphasis needed on developing improved risk-sharing and funding mechanisms across national and local levels. |
| format | Journal Article |
| id | CGSpace115764 |
| institution | CGIAR Consortium |
| language | Inglés |
| publishDate | 2021 |
| publishDateRange | 2021 |
| publishDateSort | 2021 |
| publisher | Frontiers Media |
| publisherStr | Frontiers Media |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | CGSpace1157642024-05-01T08:19:54Z An assessment of the economic impacts of the 2019 African swine fever outbreaks in Vietnam Thinh Nguyen-Thi Linh Pham-Thi-Ngoc Que Nguyen-Ngoc Sinh Dang-Xuan Hu Suk Lee Hung Nguyen-Viet Padungtod, P. Thuy Nguyen-Thu Thuy Nguyen-Thi Thang Tran-Cong Rich, Karl M. research african swine fever economic impact swine The 2019 African swine fever (ASF) outbreaks in Vietnam imposed considerable impacts on the pig sector in Vietnam, resulting in the death or culling of nearly six million pigs, or more than 20% of the country's pig population. In order to assess the magnitude of the outbreak at sector level (both on farm and at value chain level), on livelihoods, and on the broader national economy, a comprehensive impact assessment was conducted using a mixed methods approach that integrated a value chain assessment with the use of quantitative modeling tools at sector and national levels. The results showed that the outbreak caused severe direct and indirect economic losses among farmers, particularly medium- and large-farmers whose livelihoods are largely derived from pig production. The outbreaks also affected other value chain actors due to a halving in the volume of pigs traded. At sector level, the outbreaks posed adverse impacts on the domestic supply and demand for pork, especially in the traditional sector. Meanwhile, the modern sector with higher levels of biosecurity and high technology growth was less likely to be affected and even benefited from the outbreak, which was evidenced by increased supply and income throughout the simulation period in this sector. At national level, different model simulation scenarios showed a sharp reduction in total gross domestic product (GDP) and a substantial loss of jobs. Improvements in the system of ASF compensation scheme are needed, both in terms of its administration, but also in its targeting, with greater emphasis needed on developing improved risk-sharing and funding mechanisms across national and local levels. 2021-10-25 2021-11-01T09:53:25Z 2021-11-01T09:53:25Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/115764 en Open Access Frontiers Media Thinh Nguyen-Thi, Linh Pham-Thi-Ngoc, Que Nguyen-Ngoc, Sinh Dang-Xuan, Hu Suk Lee, Hung Nguyen-Viet, Padungtod, P., Thuy Nguyen-Thu, Thuy Nguyen-Thi, Thang Tran-Cong and and Rich, K.M. 2021. An assessment of the economic impacts of the 2019 African swine fever outbreaks in Vietnam. Frontiers in Veterinary Science 8: 686038. |
| spellingShingle | research african swine fever economic impact swine Thinh Nguyen-Thi Linh Pham-Thi-Ngoc Que Nguyen-Ngoc Sinh Dang-Xuan Hu Suk Lee Hung Nguyen-Viet Padungtod, P. Thuy Nguyen-Thu Thuy Nguyen-Thi Thang Tran-Cong Rich, Karl M. An assessment of the economic impacts of the 2019 African swine fever outbreaks in Vietnam |
| title | An assessment of the economic impacts of the 2019 African swine fever outbreaks in Vietnam |
| title_full | An assessment of the economic impacts of the 2019 African swine fever outbreaks in Vietnam |
| title_fullStr | An assessment of the economic impacts of the 2019 African swine fever outbreaks in Vietnam |
| title_full_unstemmed | An assessment of the economic impacts of the 2019 African swine fever outbreaks in Vietnam |
| title_short | An assessment of the economic impacts of the 2019 African swine fever outbreaks in Vietnam |
| title_sort | assessment of the economic impacts of the 2019 african swine fever outbreaks in vietnam |
| topic | research african swine fever economic impact swine |
| url | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/115764 |
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