Thinking big for smallholder agriculture: realizing agricultural potentials in changing times

Recent advances in approaches to quantitative strategic foresight have enabled new insights into understanding potential futures of the agriculture sector. Quantitative foresight approaches facilitate understanding of different plausible scenarios, especially as related to both endogenous and exogen...

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Autores principales: Prager, Steven, Schiek, Benjamin E., Petsakos, Athanasios, Kruseman, Gideon K., Gbegbelegbe, Sika, Terheggen, Anne, Mason-D'Croz, Daniel
Formato: Artículo preliminar
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/115144
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author Prager, Steven
Schiek, Benjamin E.
Petsakos, Athanasios
Kruseman, Gideon K.
Gbegbelegbe, Sika
Terheggen, Anne
Mason-D'Croz, Daniel
author_browse Gbegbelegbe, Sika
Kruseman, Gideon K.
Mason-D'Croz, Daniel
Petsakos, Athanasios
Prager, Steven
Schiek, Benjamin E.
Terheggen, Anne
author_facet Prager, Steven
Schiek, Benjamin E.
Petsakos, Athanasios
Kruseman, Gideon K.
Gbegbelegbe, Sika
Terheggen, Anne
Mason-D'Croz, Daniel
author_sort Prager, Steven
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Recent advances in approaches to quantitative strategic foresight have enabled new insights into understanding potential futures of the agriculture sector. Quantitative foresight approaches facilitate understanding of different plausible scenarios, especially as related to both endogenous and exogenous factors (e.g., global markets and climate change). These approaches tend to be macroeconomic in nature and resolve trends relative to coarse-grained drivers. In order translate these outputs into strategies that realistically benefit producers across scale, finer resolution and context specific understanding is needed. This paper offers perspective on how foresight analysis can be combined with more pointed assessment of the specific policies, institutions and market requirements needed create more inclusive agricultural investment strategies.
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spelling CGSpace1151442025-11-05T12:36:53Z Thinking big for smallholder agriculture: realizing agricultural potentials in changing times Prager, Steven Schiek, Benjamin E. Petsakos, Athanasios Kruseman, Gideon K. Gbegbelegbe, Sika Terheggen, Anne Mason-D'Croz, Daniel analytical methods smallholders agricultural productivity social policies investment policies técnicas analíticas pequeños agricultores productividad agrícola Recent advances in approaches to quantitative strategic foresight have enabled new insights into understanding potential futures of the agriculture sector. Quantitative foresight approaches facilitate understanding of different plausible scenarios, especially as related to both endogenous and exogenous factors (e.g., global markets and climate change). These approaches tend to be macroeconomic in nature and resolve trends relative to coarse-grained drivers. In order translate these outputs into strategies that realistically benefit producers across scale, finer resolution and context specific understanding is needed. This paper offers perspective on how foresight analysis can be combined with more pointed assessment of the specific policies, institutions and market requirements needed create more inclusive agricultural investment strategies. 2021-09 2021-09-24T09:33:01Z 2021-09-24T09:33:01Z Working Paper https://hdl.handle.net/10568/115144 en Open Access application/pdf Prager, S.; Schiek, B.; Petsakos, A.; Kruseman, G.; Gbegbelegbe, S.; Terheggen, A.; Mason-D’Croz, D. (2021) Thinking big for smallholder agriculture: realizing agricultural potentials in changing times. [Discussion paper] 21 p.
spellingShingle analytical methods
smallholders
agricultural productivity
social policies
investment policies
técnicas analíticas
pequeños agricultores
productividad agrícola
Prager, Steven
Schiek, Benjamin E.
Petsakos, Athanasios
Kruseman, Gideon K.
Gbegbelegbe, Sika
Terheggen, Anne
Mason-D'Croz, Daniel
Thinking big for smallholder agriculture: realizing agricultural potentials in changing times
title Thinking big for smallholder agriculture: realizing agricultural potentials in changing times
title_full Thinking big for smallholder agriculture: realizing agricultural potentials in changing times
title_fullStr Thinking big for smallholder agriculture: realizing agricultural potentials in changing times
title_full_unstemmed Thinking big for smallholder agriculture: realizing agricultural potentials in changing times
title_short Thinking big for smallholder agriculture: realizing agricultural potentials in changing times
title_sort thinking big for smallholder agriculture realizing agricultural potentials in changing times
topic analytical methods
smallholders
agricultural productivity
social policies
investment policies
técnicas analíticas
pequeños agricultores
productividad agrícola
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/115144
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