A global meta-analysis of climate services and decision-making in agriculture

Harmonizing the supply of climate information with the type of information needed by next-users is crucial for effective weather and climate services (CS). Understanding of information demand could help reshape supply side based CS that have dominated the field over the last few decades. Most CS hav...

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Autores principales: Born, Lorna, Prager, Steven, Ramírez Villegas, Julián Armando, Imbach, Pablo
Formato: Journal Article
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: Elsevier 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/114241
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author Born, Lorna
Prager, Steven
Ramírez Villegas, Julián Armando
Imbach, Pablo
author_browse Born, Lorna
Imbach, Pablo
Prager, Steven
Ramírez Villegas, Julián Armando
author_facet Born, Lorna
Prager, Steven
Ramírez Villegas, Julián Armando
Imbach, Pablo
author_sort Born, Lorna
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Harmonizing the supply of climate information with the type of information needed by next-users is crucial for effective weather and climate services (CS). Understanding of information demand could help reshape supply side based CS that have dominated the field over the last few decades. Most CS have been developed using a ‘loading dock’ model, whereby products are designed by information suppliers with little input from or consultation with users of climate services. Notably, a focus on climate modelling and prediction has largely resulted in a lack of consideration of the demand-side when producing climate services. Here, we contribute to understanding of CS demand by presenting a global meta-analysis – a ‘decision matrix’ - of farmers’ climate influenced decisions. We identify 41 studies that encompass 186 decisions, three forecast timescales (weather, dekadal, seasonal), and five forecast variables (precipitation, temperature, wind, soil moisture and soil temperature). Several insights were offered by this literature review into the value of climate services and the way forward in considering users’ needs. We find that the seasonal precipitation is the most frequently used forecast variable for decision-making, particularly of crop sowing date. Forecasts such as temperature, soil moisture and soil temperature appeared to be less used by farmers, according to the decision matrix. It is apparent that more investigation is necessary into how farmers use climate information in their decision-making to better establish the value of CS. We suggest that different sectors should make their respective decision matrices to explore decision spaces and engage with users of climate information in various sectors.
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spelling CGSpace1142412025-12-08T09:54:28Z A global meta-analysis of climate services and decision-making in agriculture Born, Lorna Prager, Steven Ramírez Villegas, Julián Armando Imbach, Pablo climate change decision making farmer participation cambio climático toma de decisiones participación de agricultores Harmonizing the supply of climate information with the type of information needed by next-users is crucial for effective weather and climate services (CS). Understanding of information demand could help reshape supply side based CS that have dominated the field over the last few decades. Most CS have been developed using a ‘loading dock’ model, whereby products are designed by information suppliers with little input from or consultation with users of climate services. Notably, a focus on climate modelling and prediction has largely resulted in a lack of consideration of the demand-side when producing climate services. Here, we contribute to understanding of CS demand by presenting a global meta-analysis – a ‘decision matrix’ - of farmers’ climate influenced decisions. We identify 41 studies that encompass 186 decisions, three forecast timescales (weather, dekadal, seasonal), and five forecast variables (precipitation, temperature, wind, soil moisture and soil temperature). Several insights were offered by this literature review into the value of climate services and the way forward in considering users’ needs. We find that the seasonal precipitation is the most frequently used forecast variable for decision-making, particularly of crop sowing date. Forecasts such as temperature, soil moisture and soil temperature appeared to be less used by farmers, according to the decision matrix. It is apparent that more investigation is necessary into how farmers use climate information in their decision-making to better establish the value of CS. We suggest that different sectors should make their respective decision matrices to explore decision spaces and engage with users of climate information in various sectors. 2021-04 2021-07-09T09:18:01Z 2021-07-09T09:18:01Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/114241 en Open Access application/pdf Elsevier Born, L.; Prager, S.; Ramirez-Villegas, J.; Imbacha, P. (2021) A global meta-analysis of climate services and decision-making in agriculture. Climate Services 22: 100231. ISSN: 2405-8807
spellingShingle climate change
decision making
farmer participation
cambio climático
toma de decisiones
participación de agricultores
Born, Lorna
Prager, Steven
Ramírez Villegas, Julián Armando
Imbach, Pablo
A global meta-analysis of climate services and decision-making in agriculture
title A global meta-analysis of climate services and decision-making in agriculture
title_full A global meta-analysis of climate services and decision-making in agriculture
title_fullStr A global meta-analysis of climate services and decision-making in agriculture
title_full_unstemmed A global meta-analysis of climate services and decision-making in agriculture
title_short A global meta-analysis of climate services and decision-making in agriculture
title_sort global meta analysis of climate services and decision making in agriculture
topic climate change
decision making
farmer participation
cambio climático
toma de decisiones
participación de agricultores
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/114241
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