Climate vulnerability assessment for selected crops in Senegal

The vulnerability assessment for the selected crops in Senegal is based on the interaction of sensitivity to change, exposure, and adaptive capacity. We use the conceptual framework of climate-related risk from the Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)...

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Autores principales: Nguru, Wilson, Mwongera, Caroline
Formato: Informe técnico
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: Bioversity International and the International Center for Tropical Agriculture 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/113688
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author Nguru, Wilson
Mwongera, Caroline
author_browse Mwongera, Caroline
Nguru, Wilson
author_facet Nguru, Wilson
Mwongera, Caroline
author_sort Nguru, Wilson
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description The vulnerability assessment for the selected crops in Senegal is based on the interaction of sensitivity to change, exposure, and adaptive capacity. We use the conceptual framework of climate-related risk from the Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Working Group II (WGII) to examine the impacts that climate change is likely to have on agriculture and food security. The ultimate purpose of this study is to assess if the future climate has a neutral (no change), negative (decreasing), or positive (increasing) impact on crop productivity, and to identify regions of concern and opportunities for climate change adaptation. We used the Maxent ecological models under intermediate and high-emission climate scenarios – Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) 4.5 and 8.5, respectively – to assess the sensitivity of nine crops to climate change: rice, baobab, cashew, mango, okra, onion, pepper, madd and ditakh. To produce a crop-specific vulnerability index and a final accumulative score, we combined the components of vulnerability using equal weighting. We have also mapped the hotspots of climate change vulnerability and identified the underlying driving indicators. For example, we found that the south, east, and southeastern regions are most vulnerable, especially Tambacounda, Kaffrine, Sedhiou, Kolda, and Kedougou regions. There is a high vulnerability for baobab trees and cashew to the north, as well as cashews, ditakh, okra, onions, and rice to the northeast. This study highlights how the adaptive capacity of the farming population can be enhanced by augmenting access to education and health services, improving nutrition, and developing infrastructure for marketing, transportation, and irrigation.
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spelling CGSpace1136882025-12-08T10:29:22Z Climate vulnerability assessment for selected crops in Senegal Nguru, Wilson Mwongera, Caroline climate change adaptation crop management nutrition vulnerable species adaptación al cambio climático manejo del cultivo nutrición The vulnerability assessment for the selected crops in Senegal is based on the interaction of sensitivity to change, exposure, and adaptive capacity. We use the conceptual framework of climate-related risk from the Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Working Group II (WGII) to examine the impacts that climate change is likely to have on agriculture and food security. The ultimate purpose of this study is to assess if the future climate has a neutral (no change), negative (decreasing), or positive (increasing) impact on crop productivity, and to identify regions of concern and opportunities for climate change adaptation. We used the Maxent ecological models under intermediate and high-emission climate scenarios – Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) 4.5 and 8.5, respectively – to assess the sensitivity of nine crops to climate change: rice, baobab, cashew, mango, okra, onion, pepper, madd and ditakh. To produce a crop-specific vulnerability index and a final accumulative score, we combined the components of vulnerability using equal weighting. We have also mapped the hotspots of climate change vulnerability and identified the underlying driving indicators. For example, we found that the south, east, and southeastern regions are most vulnerable, especially Tambacounda, Kaffrine, Sedhiou, Kolda, and Kedougou regions. There is a high vulnerability for baobab trees and cashew to the north, as well as cashews, ditakh, okra, onions, and rice to the northeast. This study highlights how the adaptive capacity of the farming population can be enhanced by augmenting access to education and health services, improving nutrition, and developing infrastructure for marketing, transportation, and irrigation. 2022 2022-05-11T09:37:14Z 2022-05-11T09:37:14Z Report https://hdl.handle.net/10568/113688 en Open Access application/pdf Bioversity International and the International Center for Tropical Agriculture Nguru, W.; Mwongera, C. (2022) Climate vulnerability assessment for selected crops in Senegal. Rome (Italy): Alliance of Bioversity International and CIAT. 36 p.
spellingShingle climate change adaptation
crop management
nutrition
vulnerable species
adaptación al cambio climático
manejo del cultivo
nutrición
Nguru, Wilson
Mwongera, Caroline
Climate vulnerability assessment for selected crops in Senegal
title Climate vulnerability assessment for selected crops in Senegal
title_full Climate vulnerability assessment for selected crops in Senegal
title_fullStr Climate vulnerability assessment for selected crops in Senegal
title_full_unstemmed Climate vulnerability assessment for selected crops in Senegal
title_short Climate vulnerability assessment for selected crops in Senegal
title_sort climate vulnerability assessment for selected crops in senegal
topic climate change adaptation
crop management
nutrition
vulnerable species
adaptación al cambio climático
manejo del cultivo
nutrición
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/113688
work_keys_str_mv AT nguruwilson climatevulnerabilityassessmentforselectedcropsinsenegal
AT mwongeracaroline climatevulnerabilityassessmentforselectedcropsinsenegal