What Drives Intensification of Land Use at Agricultural Frontiers in the Brazilian Amazon? Evidence from a Decision Game

Land-use change results from the decisions of diverse actors in response to economic and political contexts. Identification of underlying decision-making processes is key to understanding land-use patterns, anticipating trends, and designing effective environmental governance mechanisms. Here, we us...

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Main Authors: Nascimento, N., West, T.A.P., Börner, J., Ometto, J.
Format: Journal Article
Language:Inglés
Published: MDPI 2019
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/112228
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author Nascimento, N.
West, T.A.P.
Börner, J.
Ometto, J.
author_browse Börner, J.
Nascimento, N.
Ometto, J.
West, T.A.P.
author_facet Nascimento, N.
West, T.A.P.
Börner, J.
Ometto, J.
author_sort Nascimento, N.
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Land-use change results from the decisions of diverse actors in response to economic and political contexts. Identification of underlying decision-making processes is key to understanding land-use patterns, anticipating trends, and designing effective environmental governance mechanisms. Here, we use a scenario-based decision game to examine hypothetical land-use decisions among four groups of rural producers in the municipalities of Sinop, Guarantã do Norte and Novo Progresso in the Brazilian Amazon. We simulate changes in agricultural prices, production cost, and frequency of environmental monitoring (in situ inspections) to understand how land-use decisions are made and change with shifts in economic and governance incentives. Hypothetical land-use decisions vary across scenarios, but not across study sites; environmental law enforcement influence land decisions, but not to the extent of dominating market factors and not for all types of producers. Decision games cannot substitute approaches to explain behavioral responses from observational data. However, they can provide immediate feedback on behavioral hypotheses before comprehensive observational data becomes available and support the development of models for land-use policy planning at local and regional scales.
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spelling CGSpace1122282024-06-26T09:36:52Z What Drives Intensification of Land Use at Agricultural Frontiers in the Brazilian Amazon? Evidence from a Decision Game Nascimento, N. West, T.A.P. Börner, J. Ometto, J. land use agriculture policy forestry Land-use change results from the decisions of diverse actors in response to economic and political contexts. Identification of underlying decision-making processes is key to understanding land-use patterns, anticipating trends, and designing effective environmental governance mechanisms. Here, we use a scenario-based decision game to examine hypothetical land-use decisions among four groups of rural producers in the municipalities of Sinop, Guarantã do Norte and Novo Progresso in the Brazilian Amazon. We simulate changes in agricultural prices, production cost, and frequency of environmental monitoring (in situ inspections) to understand how land-use decisions are made and change with shifts in economic and governance incentives. Hypothetical land-use decisions vary across scenarios, but not across study sites; environmental law enforcement influence land decisions, but not to the extent of dominating market factors and not for all types of producers. Decision games cannot substitute approaches to explain behavioral responses from observational data. However, they can provide immediate feedback on behavioral hypotheses before comprehensive observational data becomes available and support the development of models for land-use policy planning at local and regional scales. 2019-06-30 2021-03-08T08:22:06Z 2021-03-08T08:22:06Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/112228 en Open Access MDPI Nascimento, N., West, T.A.P., Börner, J., Ometto, J. 2019. What Drives Intensification of Land Use at Agricultural Frontiers in the Brazilian Amazon? Evidence from a Decision Game. Forests, 10 (6) : 464. https://doi.org/10.3390/f10060464
spellingShingle land use
agriculture
policy
forestry
Nascimento, N.
West, T.A.P.
Börner, J.
Ometto, J.
What Drives Intensification of Land Use at Agricultural Frontiers in the Brazilian Amazon? Evidence from a Decision Game
title What Drives Intensification of Land Use at Agricultural Frontiers in the Brazilian Amazon? Evidence from a Decision Game
title_full What Drives Intensification of Land Use at Agricultural Frontiers in the Brazilian Amazon? Evidence from a Decision Game
title_fullStr What Drives Intensification of Land Use at Agricultural Frontiers in the Brazilian Amazon? Evidence from a Decision Game
title_full_unstemmed What Drives Intensification of Land Use at Agricultural Frontiers in the Brazilian Amazon? Evidence from a Decision Game
title_short What Drives Intensification of Land Use at Agricultural Frontiers in the Brazilian Amazon? Evidence from a Decision Game
title_sort what drives intensification of land use at agricultural frontiers in the brazilian amazon evidence from a decision game
topic land use
agriculture
policy
forestry
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/112228
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