Food security outcomes in agricultural systems models: Case examples and priority information needs

Analyses of food security with agricultural systems models often focus on indicators of food availability, with limited treatment of the other three dimensions: food access, stability and utilization. We illustrate how three indicators of access (food consumption expenditures, a food insecurity scal...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Nicholson, Charles F., Stephens, Emma C., Kopainsky, Birgit, Thornton, Philip K., Jones, Andrew D., Parsons, David, Garrett, James
Formato: Journal Article
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: Elsevier 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/110945
_version_ 1855522415845572608
author Nicholson, Charles F.
Stephens, Emma C.
Kopainsky, Birgit
Thornton, Philip K.
Jones, Andrew D.
Parsons, David
Garrett, James
author_browse Garrett, James
Jones, Andrew D.
Kopainsky, Birgit
Nicholson, Charles F.
Parsons, David
Stephens, Emma C.
Thornton, Philip K.
author_facet Nicholson, Charles F.
Stephens, Emma C.
Kopainsky, Birgit
Thornton, Philip K.
Jones, Andrew D.
Parsons, David
Garrett, James
author_sort Nicholson, Charles F.
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Analyses of food security with agricultural systems models often focus on indicators of food availability, with limited treatment of the other three dimensions: food access, stability and utilization. We illustrate how three indicators of access (food consumption expenditures, a food insecurity scale and dietary diversity) and their stability can be incorporated into a dynamic household-level model of a maize-based production system in the Kenya highlands and a dynamic regional model of sheep production and marketing in Mexico. Although stylized due to limits on empirical evidence, the analyses suggest that inclusion of multiple access indicators can provide insights because the indicators respond differently to production shocks, demand growth and programs providing production subsidies. We also illustrate how to examine stability of food security outcomes in response to shocks using metrics of hardness (ability to withstand shocks) and elasticity (ability to return to previous conditions). The data required for more widespread empirical implementation of these methods include measurement—preferably at frequent intervals over time—of food access indicators, but also their determinants and linkages to outcomes in agricultural systems models. Analyses of food access and stability will be most valuable for assessments of food security impacts of climate change, when food systems are undergoing transformative change and to identify priority interventions and target audiences.
format Journal Article
id CGSpace110945
institution CGIAR Consortium
language Inglés
publishDate 2021
publishDateRange 2021
publishDateSort 2021
publisher Elsevier
publisherStr Elsevier
record_format dspace
spelling CGSpace1109452025-11-12T04:26:49Z Food security outcomes in agricultural systems models: Case examples and priority information needs Nicholson, Charles F. Stephens, Emma C. Kopainsky, Birgit Thornton, Philip K. Jones, Andrew D. Parsons, David Garrett, James food security farming systems food access stability seguridad alimentaria sistemas de explotación acceso a los alimentos Analyses of food security with agricultural systems models often focus on indicators of food availability, with limited treatment of the other three dimensions: food access, stability and utilization. We illustrate how three indicators of access (food consumption expenditures, a food insecurity scale and dietary diversity) and their stability can be incorporated into a dynamic household-level model of a maize-based production system in the Kenya highlands and a dynamic regional model of sheep production and marketing in Mexico. Although stylized due to limits on empirical evidence, the analyses suggest that inclusion of multiple access indicators can provide insights because the indicators respond differently to production shocks, demand growth and programs providing production subsidies. We also illustrate how to examine stability of food security outcomes in response to shocks using metrics of hardness (ability to withstand shocks) and elasticity (ability to return to previous conditions). The data required for more widespread empirical implementation of these methods include measurement—preferably at frequent intervals over time—of food access indicators, but also their determinants and linkages to outcomes in agricultural systems models. Analyses of food access and stability will be most valuable for assessments of food security impacts of climate change, when food systems are undergoing transformative change and to identify priority interventions and target audiences. 2021-03 2021-01-22T16:07:38Z 2021-01-22T16:07:38Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/110945 en Open Access application/pdf Elsevier Nicholson, C.F.; Stephens, E.C.; Kopainsky, B.; Thornton, P.K.; Jones, A.D.; Parsons, D.; Garrett, J. (2021) Food security outcomes in agricultural systems models: Case examples and priority information needs. Agricultural Systems 188: 103030 ISSN: 0308-521X
spellingShingle food security
farming systems
food access
stability
seguridad alimentaria
sistemas de explotación
acceso a los alimentos
Nicholson, Charles F.
Stephens, Emma C.
Kopainsky, Birgit
Thornton, Philip K.
Jones, Andrew D.
Parsons, David
Garrett, James
Food security outcomes in agricultural systems models: Case examples and priority information needs
title Food security outcomes in agricultural systems models: Case examples and priority information needs
title_full Food security outcomes in agricultural systems models: Case examples and priority information needs
title_fullStr Food security outcomes in agricultural systems models: Case examples and priority information needs
title_full_unstemmed Food security outcomes in agricultural systems models: Case examples and priority information needs
title_short Food security outcomes in agricultural systems models: Case examples and priority information needs
title_sort food security outcomes in agricultural systems models case examples and priority information needs
topic food security
farming systems
food access
stability
seguridad alimentaria
sistemas de explotación
acceso a los alimentos
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/110945
work_keys_str_mv AT nicholsoncharlesf foodsecurityoutcomesinagriculturalsystemsmodelscaseexamplesandpriorityinformationneeds
AT stephensemmac foodsecurityoutcomesinagriculturalsystemsmodelscaseexamplesandpriorityinformationneeds
AT kopainskybirgit foodsecurityoutcomesinagriculturalsystemsmodelscaseexamplesandpriorityinformationneeds
AT thorntonphilipk foodsecurityoutcomesinagriculturalsystemsmodelscaseexamplesandpriorityinformationneeds
AT jonesandrewd foodsecurityoutcomesinagriculturalsystemsmodelscaseexamplesandpriorityinformationneeds
AT parsonsdavid foodsecurityoutcomesinagriculturalsystemsmodelscaseexamplesandpriorityinformationneeds
AT garrettjames foodsecurityoutcomesinagriculturalsystemsmodelscaseexamplesandpriorityinformationneeds