Using Seasonal Forecast as an Adaptation Strategy: Gender Differential Impact on Yield and Income in Senegal

The use of seasonal forecast has been demonstrated as a good option to reduce the effects of climate variability in sub-Saharan African countries. However, its use, benefits and interests may be different depending on gender. This paper aims at analyzing the gender differential impact of the use of...

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Main Authors: Diouf, Ndeye Seynabou, Ouédraogo, Mathieu, Ouédraogo, Issa, Ablouka, Gnalenba, Zougmoré, Robert B.
Format: Journal Article
Language:Inglés
Published: MDPI 2020
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/110000
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author Diouf, Ndeye Seynabou
Ouédraogo, Mathieu
Ouédraogo, Issa
Ablouka, Gnalenba
Zougmoré, Robert B.
author_browse Ablouka, Gnalenba
Diouf, Ndeye Seynabou
Ouédraogo, Issa
Ouédraogo, Mathieu
Zougmoré, Robert B.
author_facet Diouf, Ndeye Seynabou
Ouédraogo, Mathieu
Ouédraogo, Issa
Ablouka, Gnalenba
Zougmoré, Robert B.
author_sort Diouf, Ndeye Seynabou
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description The use of seasonal forecast has been demonstrated as a good option to reduce the effects of climate variability in sub-Saharan African countries. However, its use, benefits and interests may be different depending on gender. This paper aims at analyzing the gender differential impact of the use of seasonal forecast on the main crop yields (rice, maize, sorghum, millet and groundnut) and farm income in Senegal. We collected data from 1481 farmers (44% women) in four regions of Senegal. We applied the counterfactual outcomes framework of modern evaluation theory to estimate the local average treatment effect (LATE) of the use of the seasonal forecast on crop yield and farm income. The results showed a significant impact of the use of the seasonal forecast (SF) in the main crop yields and the agricultural income for farmers in Senegal. This impact varies according to the sex and the type of the crops. The users (men and women) of the seasonal forecast gained on average 158 kg/ha and 140 kg/ha more yield than the non-users, respectively, for millet and rice crops. The impact of the use of SF is greater for men on millet (202.7 kg/ha vs. 16.7 kg/ha) and rice (321.33 kg/ha vs. −25.3 kg/ha). However, it is greater for women on maize (210 kg/ha vs. −105 kg/ha). Potential users of seasonal forecast had also a positive and significant impact of 41$ per ha on the income. The additional income is more important for men (56$) than women (11$). These findings suggest that the use of seasonal forecast increases the productivity of rural communities and affects men and women differently. The access to and use of SF should therefore be widely promoted among farmers’ organizations; women’s associations should be particularly targeted.
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spelling CGSpace1100002025-02-19T13:42:59Z Using Seasonal Forecast as an Adaptation Strategy: Gender Differential Impact on Yield and Income in Senegal Diouf, Ndeye Seynabou Ouédraogo, Mathieu Ouédraogo, Issa Ablouka, Gnalenba Zougmoré, Robert B. adaptation gender yields income climate change agriculture food security The use of seasonal forecast has been demonstrated as a good option to reduce the effects of climate variability in sub-Saharan African countries. However, its use, benefits and interests may be different depending on gender. This paper aims at analyzing the gender differential impact of the use of seasonal forecast on the main crop yields (rice, maize, sorghum, millet and groundnut) and farm income in Senegal. We collected data from 1481 farmers (44% women) in four regions of Senegal. We applied the counterfactual outcomes framework of modern evaluation theory to estimate the local average treatment effect (LATE) of the use of the seasonal forecast on crop yield and farm income. The results showed a significant impact of the use of the seasonal forecast (SF) in the main crop yields and the agricultural income for farmers in Senegal. This impact varies according to the sex and the type of the crops. The users (men and women) of the seasonal forecast gained on average 158 kg/ha and 140 kg/ha more yield than the non-users, respectively, for millet and rice crops. The impact of the use of SF is greater for men on millet (202.7 kg/ha vs. 16.7 kg/ha) and rice (321.33 kg/ha vs. −25.3 kg/ha). However, it is greater for women on maize (210 kg/ha vs. −105 kg/ha). Potential users of seasonal forecast had also a positive and significant impact of 41$ per ha on the income. The additional income is more important for men (56$) than women (11$). These findings suggest that the use of seasonal forecast increases the productivity of rural communities and affects men and women differently. The access to and use of SF should therefore be widely promoted among farmers’ organizations; women’s associations should be particularly targeted. 2020-10-20 2020-10-27T23:22:04Z 2020-10-27T23:22:04Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/110000 en Open Access MDPI Diouf NS, Ouédraogo M, Ouédraogo I, Ablouka G, Zougmoré RB. 2020. Using Seasonal Forecast as an Adaptation Strategy: Gender Differential Impact on Yield and Income in Senegal. Atmosphere 11(10):1127.
spellingShingle adaptation
gender
yields
income
climate change
agriculture
food security
Diouf, Ndeye Seynabou
Ouédraogo, Mathieu
Ouédraogo, Issa
Ablouka, Gnalenba
Zougmoré, Robert B.
Using Seasonal Forecast as an Adaptation Strategy: Gender Differential Impact on Yield and Income in Senegal
title Using Seasonal Forecast as an Adaptation Strategy: Gender Differential Impact on Yield and Income in Senegal
title_full Using Seasonal Forecast as an Adaptation Strategy: Gender Differential Impact on Yield and Income in Senegal
title_fullStr Using Seasonal Forecast as an Adaptation Strategy: Gender Differential Impact on Yield and Income in Senegal
title_full_unstemmed Using Seasonal Forecast as an Adaptation Strategy: Gender Differential Impact on Yield and Income in Senegal
title_short Using Seasonal Forecast as an Adaptation Strategy: Gender Differential Impact on Yield and Income in Senegal
title_sort using seasonal forecast as an adaptation strategy gender differential impact on yield and income in senegal
topic adaptation
gender
yields
income
climate change
agriculture
food security
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/110000
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