Agricultural labor, COVID-19, and potential implications for food security and air quality in the breadbasket of India

To contain the COVID-19 pandemic, India imposed a national lockdown at the end of March 2020, a decision that resulted in a massive reverse migration as many workers across economic sectors returned to their home regions. Migrants provide the foundations of the agricultural workforce in the ‘breadba...

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Main Authors: Singh, Balwinder, Shirsath, Paresh Bhaskar, Jat, Mangi Lal, McDonald, Andrew J., Srivastava, Amit, Craufurd, Peter Q., Rana, Dharamvir Singh, Singh, Anil K, Chaudhari, Suresh K, Sharma, Parbodh Chander, Singh, Rajbir P, Jat, Hanuman Sahay, Sidhu, Harminder S., Gerard, Bruno G., Braun, Hans-Joachim
Format: Journal Article
Language:Inglés
Published: Elsevier 2020
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/109999
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author Singh, Balwinder
Shirsath, Paresh Bhaskar
Jat, Mangi Lal
McDonald, Andrew J.
Srivastava, Amit
Craufurd, Peter Q.
Rana, Dharamvir Singh
Singh, Anil K
Chaudhari, Suresh K
Sharma, Parbodh Chander
Singh, Rajbir P
Jat, Hanuman Sahay
Sidhu, Harminder S.
Gerard, Bruno G.
Braun, Hans-Joachim
author_browse Braun, Hans-Joachim
Chaudhari, Suresh K
Craufurd, Peter Q.
Gerard, Bruno G.
Jat, Hanuman Sahay
Jat, Mangi Lal
McDonald, Andrew J.
Rana, Dharamvir Singh
Sharma, Parbodh Chander
Shirsath, Paresh Bhaskar
Sidhu, Harminder S.
Singh, Anil K
Singh, Balwinder
Singh, Rajbir P
Srivastava, Amit
author_facet Singh, Balwinder
Shirsath, Paresh Bhaskar
Jat, Mangi Lal
McDonald, Andrew J.
Srivastava, Amit
Craufurd, Peter Q.
Rana, Dharamvir Singh
Singh, Anil K
Chaudhari, Suresh K
Sharma, Parbodh Chander
Singh, Rajbir P
Jat, Hanuman Sahay
Sidhu, Harminder S.
Gerard, Bruno G.
Braun, Hans-Joachim
author_sort Singh, Balwinder
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description To contain the COVID-19 pandemic, India imposed a national lockdown at the end of March 2020, a decision that resulted in a massive reverse migration as many workers across economic sectors returned to their home regions. Migrants provide the foundations of the agricultural workforce in the ‘breadbasket’ states of Punjab and Haryana in Northwest India.There are mounting concerns that near and potentially longer-term reductions in labor availability may jeopardize agricultural production and consequently national food security. The timing of rice transplanting at the beginning of the summer monsoon season has a cascading influence on productivity of the entire rice-wheat cropping system. To assess the potential for COVID-related reductions in the agriculture workforce to disrupt production of the dominant rice-wheat cropping pattern in these states, we use a spatial ex ante modelling framework to evaluate four scenarios representing a range of plausible labor constraints on the timing of rice transplanting. Averaged over both states, results suggest that rice productivity losses under all delay scenarios would be low as compare to those for wheat, with total system productivity loss estimates ranging from 9%, to 21%, equivalent to economic losses of USD $674 m to $1.48 billion. Late rice transplanting and harvesting can also aggravate winter air pollution with concomitant health risks. Technological options such as direct seeded rice, staggered nursery transplanting, and crop diversification away from rice can help address these challenges but require new approaches to policy and incentives for change.
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publishDate 2020
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spelling CGSpace1099992024-05-01T08:15:25Z Agricultural labor, COVID-19, and potential implications for food security and air quality in the breadbasket of India Singh, Balwinder Shirsath, Paresh Bhaskar Jat, Mangi Lal McDonald, Andrew J. Srivastava, Amit Craufurd, Peter Q. Rana, Dharamvir Singh Singh, Anil K Chaudhari, Suresh K Sharma, Parbodh Chander Singh, Rajbir P Jat, Hanuman Sahay Sidhu, Harminder S. Gerard, Bruno G. Braun, Hans-Joachim food security climate change agriculture covid-19 To contain the COVID-19 pandemic, India imposed a national lockdown at the end of March 2020, a decision that resulted in a massive reverse migration as many workers across economic sectors returned to their home regions. Migrants provide the foundations of the agricultural workforce in the ‘breadbasket’ states of Punjab and Haryana in Northwest India.There are mounting concerns that near and potentially longer-term reductions in labor availability may jeopardize agricultural production and consequently national food security. The timing of rice transplanting at the beginning of the summer monsoon season has a cascading influence on productivity of the entire rice-wheat cropping system. To assess the potential for COVID-related reductions in the agriculture workforce to disrupt production of the dominant rice-wheat cropping pattern in these states, we use a spatial ex ante modelling framework to evaluate four scenarios representing a range of plausible labor constraints on the timing of rice transplanting. Averaged over both states, results suggest that rice productivity losses under all delay scenarios would be low as compare to those for wheat, with total system productivity loss estimates ranging from 9%, to 21%, equivalent to economic losses of USD $674 m to $1.48 billion. Late rice transplanting and harvesting can also aggravate winter air pollution with concomitant health risks. Technological options such as direct seeded rice, staggered nursery transplanting, and crop diversification away from rice can help address these challenges but require new approaches to policy and incentives for change. 2020-11 2020-10-27T23:13:14Z 2020-10-27T23:13:14Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/109999 en Open Access Elsevier Singh B, Shirsath PB, Jat ML, McDonal AJ, Srivastava A, Craufurd P, Rana DS, Singh AK, Chaudhari SK, Sharma PC, Singh R, Jat HS, Sidhu HS, Gerard B, Braun H. 2020. Agricultural labor, COVID-19, and potential implications for food security and air quality in the breadbasket of India. Agricultural Systems 185:102954.
spellingShingle food security
climate change
agriculture
covid-19
Singh, Balwinder
Shirsath, Paresh Bhaskar
Jat, Mangi Lal
McDonald, Andrew J.
Srivastava, Amit
Craufurd, Peter Q.
Rana, Dharamvir Singh
Singh, Anil K
Chaudhari, Suresh K
Sharma, Parbodh Chander
Singh, Rajbir P
Jat, Hanuman Sahay
Sidhu, Harminder S.
Gerard, Bruno G.
Braun, Hans-Joachim
Agricultural labor, COVID-19, and potential implications for food security and air quality in the breadbasket of India
title Agricultural labor, COVID-19, and potential implications for food security and air quality in the breadbasket of India
title_full Agricultural labor, COVID-19, and potential implications for food security and air quality in the breadbasket of India
title_fullStr Agricultural labor, COVID-19, and potential implications for food security and air quality in the breadbasket of India
title_full_unstemmed Agricultural labor, COVID-19, and potential implications for food security and air quality in the breadbasket of India
title_short Agricultural labor, COVID-19, and potential implications for food security and air quality in the breadbasket of India
title_sort agricultural labor covid 19 and potential implications for food security and air quality in the breadbasket of india
topic food security
climate change
agriculture
covid-19
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/109999
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