Rapid Climate Risk Assessment for the Southern Africa Development Community (SADC) Region

This rapid climate risk assessment for the Southern Africa Development Community (SADC) uses the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) 2014 risk analysis framework to assess the distribution of climate hazards and social and biophysical vulnerability to those hazards in order to identify...

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Autores principales: Quinn, Claire, Carrie, Rachel, Chapman, Sarah, Jennings, Stewart, Jensen, Paul, Smith, Harriet, Whitfield, Stephen
Formato: Informe técnico
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security 2020
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/109192
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author Quinn, Claire
Carrie, Rachel
Chapman, Sarah
Jennings, Stewart
Jensen, Paul
Smith, Harriet
Whitfield, Stephen
author_browse Carrie, Rachel
Chapman, Sarah
Jennings, Stewart
Jensen, Paul
Quinn, Claire
Smith, Harriet
Whitfield, Stephen
author_facet Quinn, Claire
Carrie, Rachel
Chapman, Sarah
Jennings, Stewart
Jensen, Paul
Smith, Harriet
Whitfield, Stephen
author_sort Quinn, Claire
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description This rapid climate risk assessment for the Southern Africa Development Community (SADC) uses the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) 2014 risk analysis framework to assess the distribution of climate hazards and social and biophysical vulnerability to those hazards in order to identify climate risk hotspots. The assessment uses regional climate models from CORDEX-Africa to map rainfall extremes and drought hazards to 2031–2059. Ten social and biophysical vulnerability indicators are identified from across the capital assets (human, physical, social, financial, natural), using data from the Global Multidimensional Poverty Index (MPI), to develop a vulnerability index. The vulnerability index and distribution of climate hazards are mapped to identify hotspots. Hotspots of vulnerability to and risk of extreme rainfall are shown in northern Madagascar and in south west Tanzania, under both the RCP4.5 and 8.5 scenarios. These hotspots also correspond to the hotspots for drought risk under RCP4.5 and 8.5. However, it is clear that medium-high climate risk (high vulnerability, medium-high climate hazard) is widespread across Angola, Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC), Tanzania, Mozambique, and Madagascar.
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spelling CGSpace1091922023-03-12T15:17:57Z Rapid Climate Risk Assessment for the Southern Africa Development Community (SADC) Region Quinn, Claire Carrie, Rachel Chapman, Sarah Jennings, Stewart Jensen, Paul Smith, Harriet Whitfield, Stephen climate change agriculture food security risk This rapid climate risk assessment for the Southern Africa Development Community (SADC) uses the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) 2014 risk analysis framework to assess the distribution of climate hazards and social and biophysical vulnerability to those hazards in order to identify climate risk hotspots. The assessment uses regional climate models from CORDEX-Africa to map rainfall extremes and drought hazards to 2031–2059. Ten social and biophysical vulnerability indicators are identified from across the capital assets (human, physical, social, financial, natural), using data from the Global Multidimensional Poverty Index (MPI), to develop a vulnerability index. The vulnerability index and distribution of climate hazards are mapped to identify hotspots. Hotspots of vulnerability to and risk of extreme rainfall are shown in northern Madagascar and in south west Tanzania, under both the RCP4.5 and 8.5 scenarios. These hotspots also correspond to the hotspots for drought risk under RCP4.5 and 8.5. However, it is clear that medium-high climate risk (high vulnerability, medium-high climate hazard) is widespread across Angola, Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC), Tanzania, Mozambique, and Madagascar. 2020-09-03 2020-09-03T15:35:51Z 2020-09-03T15:35:51Z Report https://hdl.handle.net/10568/109192 en Open Access application/pdf CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security Quinn C, Carrie R, Chapman S, Jennings S, Jensen P, Smith, Whitfield S. 2020. Rapid Climate Risk Assessment for the SADC Region. SADC Futures: Developing Foresight Capacity for Climate Resilient Agricultural Development Knowledge Series. CCAFS Report. Wageningen, the Netherlands: CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS).
spellingShingle climate change
agriculture
food security
risk
Quinn, Claire
Carrie, Rachel
Chapman, Sarah
Jennings, Stewart
Jensen, Paul
Smith, Harriet
Whitfield, Stephen
Rapid Climate Risk Assessment for the Southern Africa Development Community (SADC) Region
title Rapid Climate Risk Assessment for the Southern Africa Development Community (SADC) Region
title_full Rapid Climate Risk Assessment for the Southern Africa Development Community (SADC) Region
title_fullStr Rapid Climate Risk Assessment for the Southern Africa Development Community (SADC) Region
title_full_unstemmed Rapid Climate Risk Assessment for the Southern Africa Development Community (SADC) Region
title_short Rapid Climate Risk Assessment for the Southern Africa Development Community (SADC) Region
title_sort rapid climate risk assessment for the southern africa development community sadc region
topic climate change
agriculture
food security
risk
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/109192
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