Understanding anticipatory climate governance in Central America: The links between anticipation and policy

Anticipation practices, such as participatory scenarios, quantitative scenarios and visioning processes, are increasingly used to imagine how countries will be affected by climate change and to proactively plan climate strategies that preempt major social, economic, environmental and health impacts...

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Autores principales: Veeger, Marieke, Muidermann, Karlijn, Tulloch Lapresa, Alexander
Formato: Ponencia
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: 2019
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/107098
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author Veeger, Marieke
Muidermann, Karlijn
Tulloch Lapresa, Alexander
author_browse Muidermann, Karlijn
Tulloch Lapresa, Alexander
Veeger, Marieke
author_facet Veeger, Marieke
Muidermann, Karlijn
Tulloch Lapresa, Alexander
author_sort Veeger, Marieke
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Anticipation practices, such as participatory scenarios, quantitative scenarios and visioning processes, are increasingly used to imagine how countries will be affected by climate change and to proactively plan climate strategies that preempt major social, economic, environmental and health impacts of climate variability. These anticipatory practices are increasingly used to guide transformative planning processes in vulnerable sectors such as agriculture and livestock. However, these anticipatory processes have not been scrutinized as mechanisms of steering of the future in present planning processes. Anticipatory practices might incorporate framings that unwillingly reinforce inequalities and injustices, particularly in the vulnerable regions of the Global South.
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spelling CGSpace1070982024-01-23T12:03:48Z Understanding anticipatory climate governance in Central America: The links between anticipation and policy Veeger, Marieke Muidermann, Karlijn Tulloch Lapresa, Alexander climate change agricultural policies climate-smart agriculture agriculture food security Anticipation practices, such as participatory scenarios, quantitative scenarios and visioning processes, are increasingly used to imagine how countries will be affected by climate change and to proactively plan climate strategies that preempt major social, economic, environmental and health impacts of climate variability. These anticipatory practices are increasingly used to guide transformative planning processes in vulnerable sectors such as agriculture and livestock. However, these anticipatory processes have not been scrutinized as mechanisms of steering of the future in present planning processes. Anticipatory practices might incorporate framings that unwillingly reinforce inequalities and injustices, particularly in the vulnerable regions of the Global South. Building on half a decade of foresight research and practice in one of the most vulnerable regions to climate change, Central America, this paper bridges the foresight and governance community in order to critically study foresight as a governance intervention. By analyzing 25 cases of anticipation practices and policy formulation in the aforementioned region, we examine the links between anticipation and policy by addressing first-order questions such as; what type of anticipatory practices are used, who initiates and funds these processes, and who participates? Thereafter, three cases are studied in-depth in order to interrogate more implicit notions of the conception of the future. We analyze how knowable and manageable the future is perceived to be, what the desired end is of engaging with the future and how it is seen to impact policy choices in the present. The analysis in this paper can be used for future research on the role of anticipatory practices in climate change governance and transformation processes. The paper contributes to the Earth System Governance conference stream ´Anticipation and Imagination´, as well as the Earth System Governance Task Force on Anticipatory Governance. 2019-11-06 2020-02-14T16:44:01Z 2020-02-14T16:44:01Z Presentation https://hdl.handle.net/10568/107098 en Open Access application/pdf Veeger M, Muidermann K, Tulloch Lapresa A. 2019. Understanding anticipatory climate governance in Central America: The links between anticipation and policy. CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS).
spellingShingle climate change
agricultural policies
climate-smart agriculture
agriculture
food security
Veeger, Marieke
Muidermann, Karlijn
Tulloch Lapresa, Alexander
Understanding anticipatory climate governance in Central America: The links between anticipation and policy
title Understanding anticipatory climate governance in Central America: The links between anticipation and policy
title_full Understanding anticipatory climate governance in Central America: The links between anticipation and policy
title_fullStr Understanding anticipatory climate governance in Central America: The links between anticipation and policy
title_full_unstemmed Understanding anticipatory climate governance in Central America: The links between anticipation and policy
title_short Understanding anticipatory climate governance in Central America: The links between anticipation and policy
title_sort understanding anticipatory climate governance in central america the links between anticipation and policy
topic climate change
agricultural policies
climate-smart agriculture
agriculture
food security
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/107098
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