Assessing climate change and adaptive capacity at local scale using observed and remotely sensed data

Climate variability and change impacts are manifesting through declining rainfall totals and increasing frequency and intensity of droughts, floods and heatwaves. These environmental changes are affecting mostly rural populations in developing countries due to low adaptive capacity and high reliance...

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Autores principales: Moeletsi, M., Masupha, T., Magidi, J., Tshikolomo, K., Liphadzi, S., Naidoo, D., Mabhaudhi, Tafadzwanashe, Mpandeli, S., Nhamo, Luxon
Formato: Journal Article
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: Elsevier 2019
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/106731
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author Moeletsi, M.
Masupha, T.
Magidi, J.
Tshikolomo, K.
Liphadzi, S.
Naidoo, D.
Mabhaudhi, Tafadzwanashe
Mpandeli, S.
Nhamo, Luxon
author_browse Liphadzi, S.
Mabhaudhi, Tafadzwanashe
Magidi, J.
Masupha, T.
Moeletsi, M.
Mpandeli, S.
Naidoo, D.
Nhamo, Luxon
Tshikolomo, K.
author_facet Moeletsi, M.
Masupha, T.
Magidi, J.
Tshikolomo, K.
Liphadzi, S.
Naidoo, D.
Mabhaudhi, Tafadzwanashe
Mpandeli, S.
Nhamo, Luxon
author_sort Moeletsi, M.
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Climate variability and change impacts are manifesting through declining rainfall totals and increasing frequency and intensity of droughts, floods and heatwaves. These environmental changes are affecting mostly rural populations in developing countries due to low adaptive capacity and high reliance on natural systems for their livelihoods. While broad adaptation strategies exist, there is need to contextualise them to local scale. This paper assessed rainfall, temperature and water stress trends over time in Capricorn District, South Africa, using Standardized Precipitation Index, Thermal Heat Index, and Normalised Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) as a proxy of water stress. Observed rainfall and temperature data from 1960 to 2015 was used to assess climatic variations, and NDVI was used to assess water stress from 2000 to 2019. Results show a marked increase in drought frequency and intensity, decreasing rainfall totals accompanied by increasing temperatures, and increasing water stress during the summer season. Long-term climatic changes are a basis to develop tailor-made adaptation strategies. Eighty-one percent of the cropped area in Capricorn District is rainfed and under smallholder farming, exposing the district to climate change risks. As the intensity of climate change varies both in space and time, adaptation strategies also vary depending on exposure and intensity. A combination of observed and remotely sensed climatic data is vital in developing tailor-made adaptation strategies.
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spelling CGSpace1067312025-03-11T09:50:20Z Assessing climate change and adaptive capacity at local scale using observed and remotely sensed data Moeletsi, M. Masupha, T. Magidi, J. Tshikolomo, K. Liphadzi, S. Naidoo, D. Mabhaudhi, Tafadzwanashe Mpandeli, S. Nhamo, Luxon climate change adaptation assessment remote sensing drought rain temperature water stress resilience risk reduction strategies smallholders farmers agricultural production heat stress vegetation index Climate variability and change impacts are manifesting through declining rainfall totals and increasing frequency and intensity of droughts, floods and heatwaves. These environmental changes are affecting mostly rural populations in developing countries due to low adaptive capacity and high reliance on natural systems for their livelihoods. While broad adaptation strategies exist, there is need to contextualise them to local scale. This paper assessed rainfall, temperature and water stress trends over time in Capricorn District, South Africa, using Standardized Precipitation Index, Thermal Heat Index, and Normalised Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) as a proxy of water stress. Observed rainfall and temperature data from 1960 to 2015 was used to assess climatic variations, and NDVI was used to assess water stress from 2000 to 2019. Results show a marked increase in drought frequency and intensity, decreasing rainfall totals accompanied by increasing temperatures, and increasing water stress during the summer season. Long-term climatic changes are a basis to develop tailor-made adaptation strategies. Eighty-one percent of the cropped area in Capricorn District is rainfed and under smallholder farming, exposing the district to climate change risks. As the intensity of climate change varies both in space and time, adaptation strategies also vary depending on exposure and intensity. A combination of observed and remotely sensed climatic data is vital in developing tailor-made adaptation strategies. 2019-12 2020-01-28T03:26:16Z 2020-01-28T03:26:16Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/106731 en Open Access Elsevier Mpandeli, S.; Nhamo, Luxon; Moeletsi, M.; Masupha, T.; Magidi, J.; Tshikolomo, K.; Liphadzi, S.; Naidoo, D.; Mabhaudhi, T. 2019. Assessing climate change and adaptive capacity at local scale using observed and remotely sensed data. Weather and Climate Extremes, 26:100240. doi: 10.1016/j.wace.2019.100240
spellingShingle climate change adaptation
assessment
remote sensing
drought
rain
temperature
water stress
resilience
risk reduction
strategies
smallholders
farmers
agricultural production
heat stress
vegetation index
Moeletsi, M.
Masupha, T.
Magidi, J.
Tshikolomo, K.
Liphadzi, S.
Naidoo, D.
Mabhaudhi, Tafadzwanashe
Mpandeli, S.
Nhamo, Luxon
Assessing climate change and adaptive capacity at local scale using observed and remotely sensed data
title Assessing climate change and adaptive capacity at local scale using observed and remotely sensed data
title_full Assessing climate change and adaptive capacity at local scale using observed and remotely sensed data
title_fullStr Assessing climate change and adaptive capacity at local scale using observed and remotely sensed data
title_full_unstemmed Assessing climate change and adaptive capacity at local scale using observed and remotely sensed data
title_short Assessing climate change and adaptive capacity at local scale using observed and remotely sensed data
title_sort assessing climate change and adaptive capacity at local scale using observed and remotely sensed data
topic climate change adaptation
assessment
remote sensing
drought
rain
temperature
water stress
resilience
risk reduction
strategies
smallholders
farmers
agricultural production
heat stress
vegetation index
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/106731
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