High-resolution and bias-corrected CMIP5 projections for climate change impact assessments

Projections of climate change are available at coarse scales (70–400 km). But agricultural and species models typically require finer scale climate data to model climate change impacts. Here, we present a global database of future climates developed by applying the delta method –a method for climate...

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Autores principales: Navarro-Racines, Carlos Eduardo, Tarapues Montenegro, Jaime Eduardo, Thornton, Philip K., Jarvis, Andy, Ramírez Villegas, Julián Armando
Formato: Journal Article
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: Springer 2020
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/106634
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author Navarro-Racines, Carlos Eduardo
Tarapues Montenegro, Jaime Eduardo
Thornton, Philip K.
Jarvis, Andy
Ramírez Villegas, Julián Armando
author_browse Jarvis, Andy
Navarro-Racines, Carlos Eduardo
Ramírez Villegas, Julián Armando
Tarapues Montenegro, Jaime Eduardo
Thornton, Philip K.
author_facet Navarro-Racines, Carlos Eduardo
Tarapues Montenegro, Jaime Eduardo
Thornton, Philip K.
Jarvis, Andy
Ramírez Villegas, Julián Armando
author_sort Navarro-Racines, Carlos Eduardo
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Projections of climate change are available at coarse scales (70–400 km). But agricultural and species models typically require finer scale climate data to model climate change impacts. Here, we present a global database of future climates developed by applying the delta method –a method for climate model bias correction. We performed a technical evaluation of the bias-correction method using a ‘perfect sibling’ framework and show that it reduces climate model bias by 50–70%. The data include monthly maximum and minimum temperatures and monthly total precipitation, and a set of bioclimatic indices, and can be used for assessing impacts of climate change on agriculture and biodiversity. The data are publicly available in the World Data Center for Climate (WDCC; cera-www.dkrz.de), as well as in the CCAFS-Climate data portal (http://ccafs-climate.org). The database has been used up to date in more than 350 studies of ecosystem and agricultural impact assessment.
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spelling CGSpace1066342024-09-09T10:04:48Z High-resolution and bias-corrected CMIP5 projections for climate change impact assessments Navarro-Racines, Carlos Eduardo Tarapues Montenegro, Jaime Eduardo Thornton, Philip K. Jarvis, Andy Ramírez Villegas, Julián Armando agriculture food security climate change models factors precipitation Projections of climate change are available at coarse scales (70–400 km). But agricultural and species models typically require finer scale climate data to model climate change impacts. Here, we present a global database of future climates developed by applying the delta method –a method for climate model bias correction. We performed a technical evaluation of the bias-correction method using a ‘perfect sibling’ framework and show that it reduces climate model bias by 50–70%. The data include monthly maximum and minimum temperatures and monthly total precipitation, and a set of bioclimatic indices, and can be used for assessing impacts of climate change on agriculture and biodiversity. The data are publicly available in the World Data Center for Climate (WDCC; cera-www.dkrz.de), as well as in the CCAFS-Climate data portal (http://ccafs-climate.org). The database has been used up to date in more than 350 studies of ecosystem and agricultural impact assessment. 2020-01-01 2020-01-20T20:12:29Z 2020-01-20T20:12:29Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/106634 en Open Access Springer Navarro-Racines C, Tarapues J, Thornton P, Jarvis A, Ramirez-Villegas J. 2020. High-resolution and bias-corrected CMIP5 projections for climate change impact assessments. Scientific Data 7:7.
spellingShingle agriculture
food security
climate change
models
factors
precipitation
Navarro-Racines, Carlos Eduardo
Tarapues Montenegro, Jaime Eduardo
Thornton, Philip K.
Jarvis, Andy
Ramírez Villegas, Julián Armando
High-resolution and bias-corrected CMIP5 projections for climate change impact assessments
title High-resolution and bias-corrected CMIP5 projections for climate change impact assessments
title_full High-resolution and bias-corrected CMIP5 projections for climate change impact assessments
title_fullStr High-resolution and bias-corrected CMIP5 projections for climate change impact assessments
title_full_unstemmed High-resolution and bias-corrected CMIP5 projections for climate change impact assessments
title_short High-resolution and bias-corrected CMIP5 projections for climate change impact assessments
title_sort high resolution and bias corrected cmip5 projections for climate change impact assessments
topic agriculture
food security
climate change
models
factors
precipitation
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/106634
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