Protein-rich legume and pseudo-cereal crop suitability under present and future European climates
Replacing animal proteins with plant proteins in diets has been demonstrated to have both health and environmental advantages, driving a debate about the potential of protein-rich crops as dietary replacements for animal products. However, there is a lack of knowledge on how climate change could inf...
| Main Authors: | , , |
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| Format: | Journal Article |
| Language: | Inglés |
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Elsevier
2020
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/106241 |
| _version_ | 1855520946418352128 |
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| author | Manners, Rhys Varela Ortega, C. Etten, Jacob van |
| author_browse | Etten, Jacob van Manners, Rhys Varela Ortega, C. |
| author_facet | Manners, Rhys Varela Ortega, C. Etten, Jacob van |
| author_sort | Manners, Rhys |
| collection | Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace) |
| description | Replacing animal proteins with plant proteins in diets has been demonstrated to have both health and environmental advantages, driving a debate about the potential of protein-rich crops as dietary replacements for animal products. However, there is a lack of knowledge on how climate change could influence the potential for producing protein-rich crops. This study addresses this knowledge gap for the European Union. We analysed 13 protein-rich crops, using the crop suitability model EcoCrop and climate projections for the 2050s, based on 30 Global Circulation Models, under the Representative Concentration Pathway 4.5. The results suggest that current protein-rich crop distributions reflect climatic suitability. We demonstrate the heterogeneous impacts of climate change on crop suitability. In general, conditions in northern Europe were modelled to become more favourable for protein-rich crops, while in southern Europe modelled future climates limit the production of traditional protein-rich crops commonly grown there, including chickpea and lentil. Model results show an expanded area of high suitability for quinoa. Our results confirm the need for concerted breeding and research planning strategies to improve the tolerance of faba bean, lentil, and chickpea to the abiotic stresses that are predicted to become more common with climate change. At the same time, production in northern Europe can benefit from experimentation with protein-rich crops predicted to become more suitable there. Production planning and agricultural policy should consider these likely impacts, to encourage shifts that follow the emerging geographic patterns of crop suitability, and to support the resilience of protein-rich crop production in regions that may be negatively impacted by climate change. |
| format | Journal Article |
| id | CGSpace106241 |
| institution | CGIAR Consortium |
| language | Inglés |
| publishDate | 2020 |
| publishDateRange | 2020 |
| publishDateSort | 2020 |
| publisher | Elsevier |
| publisherStr | Elsevier |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | CGSpace1062412025-11-11T17:46:16Z Protein-rich legume and pseudo-cereal crop suitability under present and future European climates Manners, Rhys Varela Ortega, C. Etten, Jacob van proteins crops legumes climate change abiotic stress Replacing animal proteins with plant proteins in diets has been demonstrated to have both health and environmental advantages, driving a debate about the potential of protein-rich crops as dietary replacements for animal products. However, there is a lack of knowledge on how climate change could influence the potential for producing protein-rich crops. This study addresses this knowledge gap for the European Union. We analysed 13 protein-rich crops, using the crop suitability model EcoCrop and climate projections for the 2050s, based on 30 Global Circulation Models, under the Representative Concentration Pathway 4.5. The results suggest that current protein-rich crop distributions reflect climatic suitability. We demonstrate the heterogeneous impacts of climate change on crop suitability. In general, conditions in northern Europe were modelled to become more favourable for protein-rich crops, while in southern Europe modelled future climates limit the production of traditional protein-rich crops commonly grown there, including chickpea and lentil. Model results show an expanded area of high suitability for quinoa. Our results confirm the need for concerted breeding and research planning strategies to improve the tolerance of faba bean, lentil, and chickpea to the abiotic stresses that are predicted to become more common with climate change. At the same time, production in northern Europe can benefit from experimentation with protein-rich crops predicted to become more suitable there. Production planning and agricultural policy should consider these likely impacts, to encourage shifts that follow the emerging geographic patterns of crop suitability, and to support the resilience of protein-rich crop production in regions that may be negatively impacted by climate change. 2020-02 2019-12-19T11:59:51Z 2019-12-19T11:59:51Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/106241 en Open Access application/pdf Elsevier Manners, R., Varela-Ortega, C. & van Etten, J. (2020). Protein-rich legume and pseudo-cereal crop suitability under present and future European climates. European Journal of Agronomy, 113, 1-12. |
| spellingShingle | proteins crops legumes climate change abiotic stress Manners, Rhys Varela Ortega, C. Etten, Jacob van Protein-rich legume and pseudo-cereal crop suitability under present and future European climates |
| title | Protein-rich legume and pseudo-cereal crop suitability under present and future European climates |
| title_full | Protein-rich legume and pseudo-cereal crop suitability under present and future European climates |
| title_fullStr | Protein-rich legume and pseudo-cereal crop suitability under present and future European climates |
| title_full_unstemmed | Protein-rich legume and pseudo-cereal crop suitability under present and future European climates |
| title_short | Protein-rich legume and pseudo-cereal crop suitability under present and future European climates |
| title_sort | protein rich legume and pseudo cereal crop suitability under present and future european climates |
| topic | proteins crops legumes climate change abiotic stress |
| url | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/106241 |
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