Black Sigatoka in bananas: Ecoclimatic suitability and disease pressure assessments

Black leaf streak disease, or black Sigatoka, is caused by the fungus Pseudocercospora fijiensis, and has been identified as a major constraint to global production of banana and plantain. We fitted a climatic niche model (CLIMEX) for P. fijiensis to gain an understanding of the patterns of climate...

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Main Authors: Yonow, Tania, Ramírez Villegas, Julián Armando, Abadie, Catherine, Darnell, Ross E., Ota, Noboru, Kriticos, Darren J.
Format: Journal Article
Language:Inglés
Published: Public Library of Science 2019
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/103200
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author Yonow, Tania
Ramírez Villegas, Julián Armando
Abadie, Catherine
Darnell, Ross E.
Ota, Noboru
Kriticos, Darren J.
author_browse Abadie, Catherine
Darnell, Ross E.
Kriticos, Darren J.
Ota, Noboru
Ramírez Villegas, Julián Armando
Yonow, Tania
author_facet Yonow, Tania
Ramírez Villegas, Julián Armando
Abadie, Catherine
Darnell, Ross E.
Ota, Noboru
Kriticos, Darren J.
author_sort Yonow, Tania
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Black leaf streak disease, or black Sigatoka, is caused by the fungus Pseudocercospora fijiensis, and has been identified as a major constraint to global production of banana and plantain. We fitted a climatic niche model (CLIMEX) for P. fijiensis to gain an understanding of the patterns of climate suitability, and hence hazard from this disease. We then calibrated the climate suitability patterns against the results of an expert elicitation of disease pressure patterns. We found a moderately strong non-linear relationship between modelled climate suitability for P.°fijiensis and the expert ratings for disease pressure. The strength of the relationship provides a cross-validation between the CLIMEX model and the expert elicitation process. The bulk of global banana production experiences high potential threat from P. fijiensis, and the higher yielding areas for banana and plantain production are at greatest threat. By explicitly considering the role of irrigation we have been able to identify how strategic irrigation could be used to support banana production in areas that are at low risk from P. fijiensis.
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spelling CGSpace1032002025-03-13T09:45:05Z Black Sigatoka in bananas: Ecoclimatic suitability and disease pressure assessments Yonow, Tania Ramírez Villegas, Julián Armando Abadie, Catherine Darnell, Ross E. Ota, Noboru Kriticos, Darren J. plant diseases climate change bananas pseudocercospora fijiensis Black leaf streak disease, or black Sigatoka, is caused by the fungus Pseudocercospora fijiensis, and has been identified as a major constraint to global production of banana and plantain. We fitted a climatic niche model (CLIMEX) for P. fijiensis to gain an understanding of the patterns of climate suitability, and hence hazard from this disease. We then calibrated the climate suitability patterns against the results of an expert elicitation of disease pressure patterns. We found a moderately strong non-linear relationship between modelled climate suitability for P.°fijiensis and the expert ratings for disease pressure. The strength of the relationship provides a cross-validation between the CLIMEX model and the expert elicitation process. The bulk of global banana production experiences high potential threat from P. fijiensis, and the higher yielding areas for banana and plantain production are at greatest threat. By explicitly considering the role of irrigation we have been able to identify how strategic irrigation could be used to support banana production in areas that are at low risk from P. fijiensis. 2019-08-14 2019-08-15T13:25:29Z 2019-08-15T13:25:29Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/103200 en Open Access Public Library of Science Yonow, Tania; Ramirez-Villegas, Julian; Abadie, Catherine; Darnell, Ross E.; Ota, Noboru & Kriticos, Darren J. (2019). Black Sigatoka in bananas: Ecoclimatic suitability and disease pressure assessments. PLosONE, 14(8): e0220601
spellingShingle plant diseases
climate change
bananas
pseudocercospora fijiensis
Yonow, Tania
Ramírez Villegas, Julián Armando
Abadie, Catherine
Darnell, Ross E.
Ota, Noboru
Kriticos, Darren J.
Black Sigatoka in bananas: Ecoclimatic suitability and disease pressure assessments
title Black Sigatoka in bananas: Ecoclimatic suitability and disease pressure assessments
title_full Black Sigatoka in bananas: Ecoclimatic suitability and disease pressure assessments
title_fullStr Black Sigatoka in bananas: Ecoclimatic suitability and disease pressure assessments
title_full_unstemmed Black Sigatoka in bananas: Ecoclimatic suitability and disease pressure assessments
title_short Black Sigatoka in bananas: Ecoclimatic suitability and disease pressure assessments
title_sort black sigatoka in bananas ecoclimatic suitability and disease pressure assessments
topic plant diseases
climate change
bananas
pseudocercospora fijiensis
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/103200
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