Vulnerability and adaptation options to climate change for rural livelihoods – a country-wide analysis for Uganda

Rural households in sub-Saharan Africa earn a substantial part of their living from rain-fed smallholder agriculture, which is highly sensitive to climate change. There is a growing number of multi-level assessments on impacts and adaptation options for African smallholder systems under climate chan...

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Autores principales: Wichern, Jannike, Descheemaeker, Katrien K., Giller, Kenneth E., Ebanyat, Peter, Taulya, Godfrey, Wijk, Mark T. van
Formato: Journal Article
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: Elsevier 2019
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/102436
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author Wichern, Jannike
Descheemaeker, Katrien K.
Giller, Kenneth E.
Ebanyat, Peter
Taulya, Godfrey
Wijk, Mark T. van
author_browse Descheemaeker, Katrien K.
Ebanyat, Peter
Giller, Kenneth E.
Taulya, Godfrey
Wichern, Jannike
Wijk, Mark T. van
author_facet Wichern, Jannike
Descheemaeker, Katrien K.
Giller, Kenneth E.
Ebanyat, Peter
Taulya, Godfrey
Wijk, Mark T. van
author_sort Wichern, Jannike
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Rural households in sub-Saharan Africa earn a substantial part of their living from rain-fed smallholder agriculture, which is highly sensitive to climate change. There is a growing number of multi-level assessments on impacts and adaptation options for African smallholder systems under climate change, yet few studies translate impacts at the individual crop level to vulnerability at the household level, at which other livelihood activities need to be considered. Further, these assessments often use representative household types rather than considering the diversity of households for the identification of larger-scale patterns at sub-national and national levels. We developed a framework that combines crop suitability maps with a household food availability analysis to quantify household vulnerability to climate-related impacts on crop production and effects of adaptation options. The framework was tested for Uganda, identifying four hotspots of household vulnerability across the country. Hotspots were visually identified as areas with a relatively high concentration of vulnerable households, experiencing a decline in household crop suitability. About 30% of the households in the hotspots in (central) southwest were vulnerable to a combination of 3 °C temperature increase and 10% rainfall decline through declining suitability for several key crops (including highland banana, cassava, maize and sorghum). In contrast only 10% of the households in West Nile and central northern Uganda were negatively affected, and these were mainly affected by declining suitability of common beans. Households that depended on common beans and lived at lower elevations in West Nile and central north were vulnerable to a 2 to 3 °C temperature increase, while households located at higher elevations (above 1100–2000 m.a.s.l. depending on the crop) benefited from such an increase. Options for adaptation to increasing temperatures were most beneficial in northern Uganda, while drought-related adaptation options were more beneficial in the southwest. This framework provides a basis for decision makers who need information on where the vulnerable households are, what crops drive the vulnerability at household level and which intervention efforts are most beneficial in which regions.
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spelling CGSpace1024362025-11-12T04:29:49Z Vulnerability and adaptation options to climate change for rural livelihoods – a country-wide analysis for Uganda Wichern, Jannike Descheemaeker, Katrien K. Giller, Kenneth E. Ebanyat, Peter Taulya, Godfrey Wijk, Mark T. van crops food security impact assessment east africa uganda households climate change rural welfare Rural households in sub-Saharan Africa earn a substantial part of their living from rain-fed smallholder agriculture, which is highly sensitive to climate change. There is a growing number of multi-level assessments on impacts and adaptation options for African smallholder systems under climate change, yet few studies translate impacts at the individual crop level to vulnerability at the household level, at which other livelihood activities need to be considered. Further, these assessments often use representative household types rather than considering the diversity of households for the identification of larger-scale patterns at sub-national and national levels. We developed a framework that combines crop suitability maps with a household food availability analysis to quantify household vulnerability to climate-related impacts on crop production and effects of adaptation options. The framework was tested for Uganda, identifying four hotspots of household vulnerability across the country. Hotspots were visually identified as areas with a relatively high concentration of vulnerable households, experiencing a decline in household crop suitability. About 30% of the households in the hotspots in (central) southwest were vulnerable to a combination of 3 °C temperature increase and 10% rainfall decline through declining suitability for several key crops (including highland banana, cassava, maize and sorghum). In contrast only 10% of the households in West Nile and central northern Uganda were negatively affected, and these were mainly affected by declining suitability of common beans. Households that depended on common beans and lived at lower elevations in West Nile and central north were vulnerable to a 2 to 3 °C temperature increase, while households located at higher elevations (above 1100–2000 m.a.s.l. depending on the crop) benefited from such an increase. Options for adaptation to increasing temperatures were most beneficial in northern Uganda, while drought-related adaptation options were more beneficial in the southwest. This framework provides a basis for decision makers who need information on where the vulnerable households are, what crops drive the vulnerability at household level and which intervention efforts are most beneficial in which regions. 2019-11 2019-08-05T14:44:20Z 2019-08-05T14:44:20Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/102436 en Open Access application/pdf Elsevier Wichern, J., Descheemaeker, K., Giller, K.E., Ebanyat, P., Taulya, G, & van Wijk, M.T. (2019). Vulnerability and adaptation options to climate change for rural livelihoods – a country-wide analysis for Uganda. Agricultural Systems, 176, 1-14.
spellingShingle crops
food security
impact assessment
east africa
uganda
households
climate change
rural welfare
Wichern, Jannike
Descheemaeker, Katrien K.
Giller, Kenneth E.
Ebanyat, Peter
Taulya, Godfrey
Wijk, Mark T. van
Vulnerability and adaptation options to climate change for rural livelihoods – a country-wide analysis for Uganda
title Vulnerability and adaptation options to climate change for rural livelihoods – a country-wide analysis for Uganda
title_full Vulnerability and adaptation options to climate change for rural livelihoods – a country-wide analysis for Uganda
title_fullStr Vulnerability and adaptation options to climate change for rural livelihoods – a country-wide analysis for Uganda
title_full_unstemmed Vulnerability and adaptation options to climate change for rural livelihoods – a country-wide analysis for Uganda
title_short Vulnerability and adaptation options to climate change for rural livelihoods – a country-wide analysis for Uganda
title_sort vulnerability and adaptation options to climate change for rural livelihoods a country wide analysis for uganda
topic crops
food security
impact assessment
east africa
uganda
households
climate change
rural welfare
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/102436
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