Ethiopian energy status and demand scenarios: Prospects to improve energy efficiency and mitigate GHG emissions

The energy sector of Ethiopia continues to largely rely on traditional biomass energy due to limited access to modern energy sources to meet growing demand. Long-term energy demand forecasting is essential to guide the country's plans to expand the energy supply system. This study provides a general...

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Main Authors: Mondal, Md. Hossain Alam, Bryan, Elizabeth, Ringler, Claudia, Mekonnen, Dawit Kelemework, Rosegrant, Mark W.
Format: Journal Article
Language:Inglés
Published: Elsevier 2018
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/102242
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author Mondal, Md. Hossain Alam
Bryan, Elizabeth
Ringler, Claudia
Mekonnen, Dawit Kelemework
Rosegrant, Mark W.
author_browse Bryan, Elizabeth
Mekonnen, Dawit Kelemework
Mondal, Md. Hossain Alam
Ringler, Claudia
Rosegrant, Mark W.
author_facet Mondal, Md. Hossain Alam
Bryan, Elizabeth
Ringler, Claudia
Mekonnen, Dawit Kelemework
Rosegrant, Mark W.
author_sort Mondal, Md. Hossain Alam
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description The energy sector of Ethiopia continues to largely rely on traditional biomass energy due to limited access to modern energy sources to meet growing demand. Long-term energy demand forecasting is essential to guide the country's plans to expand the energy supply system. This study provides a general overview of Ethiopia's current energy demand and forecasts sector-wise energy demand out to 2030 for alternative policy scenarios using the Long-range Energy Alternative Planning (LEAP) model. The reference scenario assumes a continuation of recent energy consumption trends and takes account of current energy and economic dynamics. Three alternative scenarios on improved cookstoves, efficient lighting, and universal electrification scenario were identified as key priorities of the government of Ethiopia and modeled. Results from the model can assist energy planners in ensuring that the country's capacity for supply meets projected growth in demand for energy. They also shed light on the tradeoffs implicit in alternative policy priorities and investments in terms of economic development and environmental sustainability. Most importantly, the results suggest that alternative investments can conserve energy, improve environmental sustainability, enhance energy equity and improve the country's development indicators.
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spelling CGSpace1022422025-12-08T10:11:39Z Ethiopian energy status and demand scenarios: Prospects to improve energy efficiency and mitigate GHG emissions Mondal, Md. Hossain Alam Bryan, Elizabeth Ringler, Claudia Mekonnen, Dawit Kelemework Rosegrant, Mark W. sustainability environment simulation models modernization models biomass fuel energy policies supply balance economic development greenhouse gas emissions electrification indicators equity energy efficiency energy conservation energy demand The energy sector of Ethiopia continues to largely rely on traditional biomass energy due to limited access to modern energy sources to meet growing demand. Long-term energy demand forecasting is essential to guide the country's plans to expand the energy supply system. This study provides a general overview of Ethiopia's current energy demand and forecasts sector-wise energy demand out to 2030 for alternative policy scenarios using the Long-range Energy Alternative Planning (LEAP) model. The reference scenario assumes a continuation of recent energy consumption trends and takes account of current energy and economic dynamics. Three alternative scenarios on improved cookstoves, efficient lighting, and universal electrification scenario were identified as key priorities of the government of Ethiopia and modeled. Results from the model can assist energy planners in ensuring that the country's capacity for supply meets projected growth in demand for energy. They also shed light on the tradeoffs implicit in alternative policy priorities and investments in terms of economic development and environmental sustainability. Most importantly, the results suggest that alternative investments can conserve energy, improve environmental sustainability, enhance energy equity and improve the country's development indicators. 2018-04 2019-07-22T10:27:33Z 2019-07-22T10:27:33Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/102242 en https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2016.10.041 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2020.117703 Open Access Elsevier Mondal, Md. Hossain Alam; Bryan, Elizabeth; Ringler, Claudia; Mekonnen, Dawit Kelemework; Rosegrant, Mark W. 2018. Ethiopian energy status and demand scenarios: Prospects to improve energy efficiency and mitigate GHG emissions. Energy 149: 161-172. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2018.02.06
spellingShingle sustainability
environment
simulation models
modernization
models
biomass fuel
energy policies
supply balance
economic development
greenhouse gas emissions
electrification
indicators
equity
energy efficiency
energy conservation
energy demand
Mondal, Md. Hossain Alam
Bryan, Elizabeth
Ringler, Claudia
Mekonnen, Dawit Kelemework
Rosegrant, Mark W.
Ethiopian energy status and demand scenarios: Prospects to improve energy efficiency and mitigate GHG emissions
title Ethiopian energy status and demand scenarios: Prospects to improve energy efficiency and mitigate GHG emissions
title_full Ethiopian energy status and demand scenarios: Prospects to improve energy efficiency and mitigate GHG emissions
title_fullStr Ethiopian energy status and demand scenarios: Prospects to improve energy efficiency and mitigate GHG emissions
title_full_unstemmed Ethiopian energy status and demand scenarios: Prospects to improve energy efficiency and mitigate GHG emissions
title_short Ethiopian energy status and demand scenarios: Prospects to improve energy efficiency and mitigate GHG emissions
title_sort ethiopian energy status and demand scenarios prospects to improve energy efficiency and mitigate ghg emissions
topic sustainability
environment
simulation models
modernization
models
biomass fuel
energy policies
supply balance
economic development
greenhouse gas emissions
electrification
indicators
equity
energy efficiency
energy conservation
energy demand
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/102242
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