From plot to scale: Ex-ante assessment of conservation agriculture in Zambia

This study combined bottom-up and top-down approaches to assess the ex-ante effects of conservation agriculture (CA)-based systems in Zambia considering both biophysical and economic factors and prevailing farm systems characteristics. For continuous maize cropping we compared a CA-based system of n...

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Autores principales: Komarek, Adam M., Kwon, H., Haile, B., Thierfelder, Christian L., Mutenje, M.J., Azzarri, Carlo
Formato: Journal Article
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: Elsevier 2019
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/101214
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author Komarek, Adam M.
Kwon, H.
Haile, B.
Thierfelder, Christian L.
Mutenje, M.J.
Azzarri, Carlo
author_browse Azzarri, Carlo
Haile, B.
Komarek, Adam M.
Kwon, H.
Mutenje, M.J.
Thierfelder, Christian L.
author_facet Komarek, Adam M.
Kwon, H.
Haile, B.
Thierfelder, Christian L.
Mutenje, M.J.
Azzarri, Carlo
author_sort Komarek, Adam M.
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description This study combined bottom-up and top-down approaches to assess the ex-ante effects of conservation agriculture (CA)-based systems in Zambia considering both biophysical and economic factors and prevailing farm systems characteristics. For continuous maize cropping we compared a CA-based system of no-tillage with crop residue retention to a control system of conventional tillage with crop residue removal. First, we simulated yield effects that were calibrated and evaluated against multiple datasets, including on-farm agronomic trials from two seasons and six sites. Next, we extrapolated our simulations to all maize-growing areas in Zambia using gridded climate and soil datasets. Then simulated yields (in kg ha−1) were combined with economic data from a nationally-representative household survey to construct economic indicators including benefit-cost ratios (based on gross benefits and variable costs both in $ ha−1) that captured the implicit value of crop residues and labor demands. The field scale (per ha) indicators were scaled out using harvested areas as an expansion factor. All indicators were calculated over 3-, 10-, and 20-year simulation periods using an interpolated sequence of historical climate data. Finally, we conducted a spatial farm typology analysis to help understand the spatial variation in our field-scale indicators and provide insights into trade-offs and the suitability of CA-based systems for farmers. Average changes in yield from using CA-based systems (compared with the control) at the district scale ranged from −37% to 70% (average 33%), with a similar range of changes in benefit-cost ratios once economic factors were included, in addition to intra-district yield variability. Combining the changes in benefit-cost ratios with maize harvested area resulted in an average annual change in district-scale net benefit ranging from US $ − 3.9 to US $9.9 million (with an average of US $1.1 million). The heterogeneity in biophysical and economic factors gave a ranking of provinces different according to biophysical or economic indicators, reinforcing the importance of coupling biophysical and economic approaches. The spatial farm typology analysis highlighted the specific contexts of farmers relevant to the suitability of CA, such as their mineral fertilizer applications rates, ownership of livestock, and prevailing soil texture and rainfall.
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spelling CGSpace1012142024-10-25T08:06:33Z From plot to scale: Ex-ante assessment of conservation agriculture in Zambia Komarek, Adam M. Kwon, H. Haile, B. Thierfelder, Christian L. Mutenje, M.J. Azzarri, Carlo farming systems agriculture intensification impact assessment livestock mixed farming economic aspects scaling up agricultural technology ex ante impact assessment conservation agriculture farm typology This study combined bottom-up and top-down approaches to assess the ex-ante effects of conservation agriculture (CA)-based systems in Zambia considering both biophysical and economic factors and prevailing farm systems characteristics. For continuous maize cropping we compared a CA-based system of no-tillage with crop residue retention to a control system of conventional tillage with crop residue removal. First, we simulated yield effects that were calibrated and evaluated against multiple datasets, including on-farm agronomic trials from two seasons and six sites. Next, we extrapolated our simulations to all maize-growing areas in Zambia using gridded climate and soil datasets. Then simulated yields (in kg ha−1) were combined with economic data from a nationally-representative household survey to construct economic indicators including benefit-cost ratios (based on gross benefits and variable costs both in $ ha−1) that captured the implicit value of crop residues and labor demands. The field scale (per ha) indicators were scaled out using harvested areas as an expansion factor. All indicators were calculated over 3-, 10-, and 20-year simulation periods using an interpolated sequence of historical climate data. Finally, we conducted a spatial farm typology analysis to help understand the spatial variation in our field-scale indicators and provide insights into trade-offs and the suitability of CA-based systems for farmers. Average changes in yield from using CA-based systems (compared with the control) at the district scale ranged from −37% to 70% (average 33%), with a similar range of changes in benefit-cost ratios once economic factors were included, in addition to intra-district yield variability. Combining the changes in benefit-cost ratios with maize harvested area resulted in an average annual change in district-scale net benefit ranging from US $ − 3.9 to US $9.9 million (with an average of US $1.1 million). The heterogeneity in biophysical and economic factors gave a ranking of provinces different according to biophysical or economic indicators, reinforcing the importance of coupling biophysical and economic approaches. The spatial farm typology analysis highlighted the specific contexts of farmers relevant to the suitability of CA, such as their mineral fertilizer applications rates, ownership of livestock, and prevailing soil texture and rainfall. 2019-07 2019-05-08T08:55:52Z 2019-05-08T08:55:52Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/101214 en Open Access Elsevier Komarek, A.M., Kwon, H., Haile, B., Thierfelder, C., Mutenje, M.J. and Azzarri, C. 2019. From plot to scale: ex-ante assessment of conservation agriculture in Zambia. Agricultural Systems 173: 504-518.
spellingShingle farming systems
agriculture
intensification
impact assessment
livestock
mixed farming
economic aspects
scaling up
agricultural technology
ex ante impact assessment
conservation agriculture
farm typology
Komarek, Adam M.
Kwon, H.
Haile, B.
Thierfelder, Christian L.
Mutenje, M.J.
Azzarri, Carlo
From plot to scale: Ex-ante assessment of conservation agriculture in Zambia
title From plot to scale: Ex-ante assessment of conservation agriculture in Zambia
title_full From plot to scale: Ex-ante assessment of conservation agriculture in Zambia
title_fullStr From plot to scale: Ex-ante assessment of conservation agriculture in Zambia
title_full_unstemmed From plot to scale: Ex-ante assessment of conservation agriculture in Zambia
title_short From plot to scale: Ex-ante assessment of conservation agriculture in Zambia
title_sort from plot to scale ex ante assessment of conservation agriculture in zambia
topic farming systems
agriculture
intensification
impact assessment
livestock
mixed farming
economic aspects
scaling up
agricultural technology
ex ante impact assessment
conservation agriculture
farm typology
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/101214
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