Maize crop nutrient input requirements for food security in sub-Saharan Africa

Nutrient limitation is a major constraint in crop production in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). Here, we propose a generic and simple equilibrium model to estimate minimum input requirements of nitrogen, phosphorus and potassium for target yields in cereal crops under highly efficient management. The mode...

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Main Authors: Berge, Hein F.M. ten, Hijbeek, Renske, Loon, Marloes P. van, Rurinda, Jairos, Tesfaye, Kinde, Zingore, Shamie, Craufurd, Peter Q., Heerwaarden, Joost van, Brentrup, Frank, Schröder, Jaap J., Boogaard, Hendrik L., Groot, Hugo L.E. de, Ittersum, Martin K. van
Format: Journal Article
Language:Inglés
Published: Elsevier 2019
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/100664
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author Berge, Hein F.M. ten
Hijbeek, Renske
Loon, Marloes P. van
Rurinda, Jairos
Tesfaye, Kinde
Zingore, Shamie
Craufurd, Peter Q.
Heerwaarden, Joost van
Brentrup, Frank
Schröder, Jaap J.
Boogaard, Hendrik L.
Groot, Hugo L.E. de
Ittersum, Martin K. van
author_browse Berge, Hein F.M. ten
Boogaard, Hendrik L.
Brentrup, Frank
Craufurd, Peter Q.
Groot, Hugo L.E. de
Heerwaarden, Joost van
Hijbeek, Renske
Ittersum, Martin K. van
Loon, Marloes P. van
Rurinda, Jairos
Schröder, Jaap J.
Tesfaye, Kinde
Zingore, Shamie
author_facet Berge, Hein F.M. ten
Hijbeek, Renske
Loon, Marloes P. van
Rurinda, Jairos
Tesfaye, Kinde
Zingore, Shamie
Craufurd, Peter Q.
Heerwaarden, Joost van
Brentrup, Frank
Schröder, Jaap J.
Boogaard, Hendrik L.
Groot, Hugo L.E. de
Ittersum, Martin K. van
author_sort Berge, Hein F.M. ten
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Nutrient limitation is a major constraint in crop production in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). Here, we propose a generic and simple equilibrium model to estimate minimum input requirements of nitrogen, phosphorus and potassium for target yields in cereal crops under highly efficient management. The model was combined with Global Yield Gap Atlas data to explore minimum input requirements for self-sufficiency in 2050 for maize in nine countries in SSA. We estimate that yields have to increase from the current ca. 20% of water-limited yield potential to approximately 50–75% of the potential depending on the scenario investigated. Minimum nutrient input requirements must rise disproportionately more, with N input increasing 9-fold or 15-fold, because current production largely relies on soil nutrient mining, which cannot be sustained into the future.
format Journal Article
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publishDate 2019
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spelling CGSpace1006642025-12-08T09:54:28Z Maize crop nutrient input requirements for food security in sub-Saharan Africa Berge, Hein F.M. ten Hijbeek, Renske Loon, Marloes P. van Rurinda, Jairos Tesfaye, Kinde Zingore, Shamie Craufurd, Peter Q. Heerwaarden, Joost van Brentrup, Frank Schröder, Jaap J. Boogaard, Hendrik L. Groot, Hugo L.E. de Ittersum, Martin K. van climate change agriculture food security intensification maize yield gap soil fertility Nutrient limitation is a major constraint in crop production in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). Here, we propose a generic and simple equilibrium model to estimate minimum input requirements of nitrogen, phosphorus and potassium for target yields in cereal crops under highly efficient management. The model was combined with Global Yield Gap Atlas data to explore minimum input requirements for self-sufficiency in 2050 for maize in nine countries in SSA. We estimate that yields have to increase from the current ca. 20% of water-limited yield potential to approximately 50–75% of the potential depending on the scenario investigated. Minimum nutrient input requirements must rise disproportionately more, with N input increasing 9-fold or 15-fold, because current production largely relies on soil nutrient mining, which cannot be sustained into the future. 2019-12 2019-04-01T12:59:38Z 2019-04-01T12:59:38Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/100664 en Open Access Elsevier Ten Berge HFM, Hijbeek R, van Loon MP, Rurinda J, Tesfaye K, Zingore S, Craufurd PQ, van Heerwaarden J, Brentrup F, Schröder JJ, Boogaard HL, de Groot HLE, van Ittersum MK. 2019. Maize crop nutrient input requirements for food security in sub-Saharan Africa. Global Food Security, 23:9-21.
spellingShingle climate change
agriculture
food security
intensification
maize
yield gap
soil fertility
Berge, Hein F.M. ten
Hijbeek, Renske
Loon, Marloes P. van
Rurinda, Jairos
Tesfaye, Kinde
Zingore, Shamie
Craufurd, Peter Q.
Heerwaarden, Joost van
Brentrup, Frank
Schröder, Jaap J.
Boogaard, Hendrik L.
Groot, Hugo L.E. de
Ittersum, Martin K. van
Maize crop nutrient input requirements for food security in sub-Saharan Africa
title Maize crop nutrient input requirements for food security in sub-Saharan Africa
title_full Maize crop nutrient input requirements for food security in sub-Saharan Africa
title_fullStr Maize crop nutrient input requirements for food security in sub-Saharan Africa
title_full_unstemmed Maize crop nutrient input requirements for food security in sub-Saharan Africa
title_short Maize crop nutrient input requirements for food security in sub-Saharan Africa
title_sort maize crop nutrient input requirements for food security in sub saharan africa
topic climate change
agriculture
food security
intensification
maize
yield gap
soil fertility
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/100664
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