Resultados de búsqueda - "Carlos
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Estimation of the cost of Taenia solium cysticercosis in eastern Cape Province, South Africa
Publicado 2006“…Three methods were used for estimating productivity losses. Monte Carlo sampling was used to represent the uncertainty of the estimates with 95% Credible Intervals (95% CI). …”
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Estimation and analysis of insect population dynamics parameters via physiologically based models and hybrid genetic algorithm MCMC methods
Publicado 2023“…In this study we propose a combination of least squares methods via genetic algorithms to preliminary evaluate the best parameter values and Markov Chain Monte Carlo approach to obtain their distribution. The algorithm has been tested in the special case of Drosophila suzukii, to quantify part of the parameters of an almost validated model in two steps: i) a first pseudo-validation using perturbed numerical solutions, and ii) a validation using real field data. …”
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Land cover change and welfare in north Ghana: A spatial simultaneous equations approach
Publicado 2016Enlace del recurso
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A cross-country comparison of rural income generating activities
Publicado 2010Enlace del recurso
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Plant different, eat different?: Insights from participatory agricultural research
Publicado 2016Enlace del recurso
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Poverty and climate in Africa south of the Sahara: An empirical analysis
Publicado 2016Enlace del recurso
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Does livestock ownership affect animal source foods consumption and child nutritional status? Evidence from rural Uganda
Publicado 2014Enlace del recurso
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The agrifood-system wage gap and structural transformation: cross-country evidence
Publicado 2025Enlace del recurso
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Stochastic impact evaluation of an irrigation development intervention in Northern Ethiopia
Publicado 2019“…We then applied the SIE tools: Monte Carlo simulation, Partial Least Squares regression, and Value of Information analysis to project prospective impacts of the project and identify critical knowledge gaps. …”
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Ex-ante evaluation of economic impacts of adopting improved forages in the Colombian Orinoquía
Publicado 2021“…The analysis used two evaluation methodologies: 1) a combined discounted free cash flow model and Monte Carlo simulation using the simulation software @Risk to determine the impact on individual welfare, and 2) an economic surplus model an risk analysis to determine the potential social benefits of the technologies and their distribution among producers and consumers, considering changes in adoption rates, productivity levels and probability of success. …”
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The economic contribution of CGIAR germplasm health units to international agricultural research: the example of rice blast disease in Bangladesh
Publicado 2022“…To address uncertainties in our estimates, we augment our model with Monte Carlo sampling to simulate distributions of model parameters. …”
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Cost-benefit analysis Canavalia brasiliensis hay supplementation in Colombian dual-purpose cattle systems
Publicado 2023“…Profitability indicators, such as net present value (NPV) and internal rate of return (IRR), were calculated for three scenarios: the traditional system, meadow improvement intervention, and Canavalia brasiliensis supplementation at three inclusion levels. Additionally, Monte Carlo simulations were employed to enhance the study's robustness through probabilistic analysis. …”
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Póster -
Climatology-based regional modelling of potential vegetation and average annual long-term runoff for Mesoamerica
Publicado 2010“…Assuming a uniform distribution of parameters around literature values, and using a Monte Carlo-type approach, we estimated an average model uncertainty of 42% of the annual runoff. …”
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An economic study of smallholder dairy farms in Muranga District, Kenya
Publicado 1996“…The Technology Impact Evaluation Simulator (TIES), a Monte Carlo computer simulation model, provides a method for evaluating the financial and economic impacts of technology changes on a whole-farm basis, and explicity incorporates risk. …”
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Journal Article